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https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-coachella-cancelled-amid-growing-indications-of-covid-surge-in-autumn-12004537
"Growing indications of Covid surge in autumn"
First time I've seen something like that in print. Not sure where they're getting it from either (I know it's in USA, but the virus doesn't really get too bothered by international borders)
No actual content regarding these growing indications in there.

That said, it hardly takes a genius to see that the coming months in the US are going to be a fucking disaster since the continue to roll back restrictions with cases on the way up.
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52 minutes ago, Bairnardo said:

No actual content regarding these growing indications in there.

That said, it hardly takes a genius to see that the coming months in the US are going to be a fucking disaster since the continue to roll back restrictions with cases on the way up.

No there's not. I noticed that myself.

Is this an example of MSM fearmongering? I know the festival it refers to is in the US, but it hasn't stopped Sky News using the headline of "Covid surge in autumn"

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No actual content regarding these growing indications in there.

That said, it hardly takes a genius to see that the coming months in the US are going to be a fucking disaster since the continue to roll back restrictions with cases on the way up.
Cases on the increase in 20 states, I see. They're explaining it by saying it's down to increased testing, because of course they have the best testing, no one's testing is better than theirs...
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The only "evidence" if you like of a spike in Autumn in the US is this IHME model which, despite what @Forest_Fifer mentions above, expects cases to continue falling until August then shoot back up for whatever reason.

This projection is unusual as, for pretty much everywhere else (eg UK) no rise is projected.

There isn't any explanation (as far as I can see) why the US should be so different.

20200611_110955.jpg

Screenshot_20200611-111434_Opera.jpg

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Cases on the increase in 20 states, I see. They're explaining it by saying it's down to increased testing, because of course they have the best testing, no one's testing is better than theirs...
Supa dupa testing it really is
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Arizona hospital capacity at 83% and rising.

Quote

May
On May 6, researchers at Arizona State University and University of Arizona were instructed to halt their work on a public model for COVID-19 in the United States. Their model had recommended against any reopening before the end of May.[32] Arizona Department of Health also stated that the modeling team would no longer be allowed access to special data sets used for this work.[33] The state announced that it would be using FEMA's model for COVID-19 predictions, although the department also declined to reveal the results of the model.[32]

On May 12, Gov. Ducey announced that the stay at home order would be lifted May 15 and that gyms and pools could begin reopening on May 13.[34]

On May 15, the statewide lockdown order expired. There were 13,169 confirmed cases and 651 deaths related to COVID-19 in Arizona.[35] Gov. Ducey stated that Arizona was in compliance with the CDC's Phase One guidelines and that businesses would be allowed to reopen with social distancing measures. Major league sports were allowed to reopen without fans and only in leagues adhering to CDC guidelines.[35]

June
Two weeks after the stay-at-home-order expired, the state reported a record high of daily hospitalizations suspected to be related to COVID-19, with 1,009 hospitalizations recorded on Mon, June 1.[36][37]

On June 3, there were 22,223 cases and 981 deaths related to COVID-19, as reported by the Arizona health department. Over 345,000 tests for COVID-19 had been performed (nearly 250,000 PCR tests and over 100,000 antibody tests). About 5.7% of tests returned as positive for COVID-19.[38]

By June 8th there was 27,678 cases and 1,047 known deaths[39] and the Arizona Department of Health Services director, Dr. Cara Christ, told hospitals to 'fully activate' emergency plans[40].

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Arizona

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13 minutes ago, welshbairn said:

Arizona hospital capacity at 83% and rising.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Arizona

Christ. The MIL hasn't mentioned anything about the virus in a while, but it sounds like her and everyone she knows are pretty much back to normal. Tremendous.

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For the moment, Swedish leaders are on the back foot.

The country’s death rate per million from COVID-19 remains below Europe’s worst-affected nations, such as the U.K. and Spain, but is now 10 times that of neighboring Norway and eight times that of Finland.

 

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/11/sweden-coronavirus-312838

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1 minute ago, FFCinthearea said:

The situation is improving and we must be hitting pre lock-down levels now. 

The first day of lockdown the figures were:

+83 cases (47)

+4 deaths (2)

At the peak, 2 weeks later, 7 day average infections were 343

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2 minutes ago, Am Featha *****h Nan Clach said:

0.1% of population predicted to currently be infectious

Is it fair, therefore, to multiply the total infections to date by around 20?

Doing so reduces the fatality rate of all infections to roughly 0.75% which is heavily weighted to those over 65

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I see we got an explanation for the difference between daily new cases and the figures being contact traced. Appears our daily figures have never included positive cases from the mobile or non SG run testing services in Scotland however those cases are being traced (obviously)

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11 minutes ago, Billy Jean King said:
12 minutes ago, Steven W said:
From BBC website,
'The first minister warns we may not be able to do everything in phase two, but she hopes that at least some easing will be possible.'
Think we all know which bit isn't happening. 

Been obvious all week, 15 July it is.

You wonder why that bit was included in Phase 2 to begin with?

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