ICTChris Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 What are the figures with undecideds? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 What are the figures with undecideds? No idea, not on YouGov's headlines. I think it's a reversion to the mean, may be some push back from this weeks media frenzy and there may be something to that, but Yes is still only a bawhair out. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kejan Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 What are the figures with undecideds? Not 100% but seen on Twitter it's down to 6%. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
~~~ Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 48 yes / 52 No apparently. Unbelievable we are still in it considering the biased from the MSM 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 @SamCoatesTimes is tweeting extracts of the poll No ahead in all age groups, except 25-39. 42% of women are 'Yes', down 5% since last poll. 49% think they would be worse off, up 10% since last poll. Alex Salmond's trust ratings down to 38% from 42%. Gordon Brown's up from 32% to 35%. Only 4% are still to make up their minds. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ludo*1 Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 52-48 in favour of No according to YouGov. Demoralising. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 @SamCoatesTimes is tweeting extracts of the poll No ahead in all age groups, except 25-39. 42% of women are 'Yes', down 5% since last poll. 49% think they would be worse off, up 10% since last poll. Alex Salmond's trust ratings down to 38% from 42%. Gordon Brown's up from 32% to 35%. Only 4% are still to make up their minds. Interesting, would mean a movement in undecideds to No (think that was at 7% in the last one). Not great news. Where the hell is ICM? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lex Posted September 11, 2014 Author Share Posted September 11, 2014 Would obviously like to be further ahead, but certainly a relief to see normality restored after a couple of disastrous weeks for our campaign. Interesting comment on the BBC News there, from a gent who said he'd already voted YES by post, but was now wondering if he'd 'done the right thing' after revelations over the last couple of days. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AberdeenBud Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 What are the figures with undecideds? 4% I think. About the lowest I've seen. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ludo*1 Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Oddschecker now has a Yes vote at 4/1. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 52-48 in favour of No according to YouGov. Demoralising. Chill. No way we were going to see yes push further ahead after the last two YG polls with Survation and PB tucking in at 48% odd. It's simply that Yes has pushed to within a couple of points in the BPC polls and that is now fairly broadly agreed on by all of them. Given the sampling period and the fast movement of the campaign now, it's a miracle the yes vote held up as much as it did. Another polling sample could easily find Yes a couple of points up again. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Would obviously like to be further ahead, but certainly a relief to see normality restored after a couple of disastrous weeks for our campaign. Interesting comment on the BBC News there, from a gent who said he'd already voted YES by post, but was now wondering if he'd 'done the right thing' after revelations over the last couple of days. Again, 51% was probably on the high side of the distribution of polling, at this point, it's a statistical tie. Same situation as the start of the week when Yes were at 51% in YG. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colkitto Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 48% is still in the margin of error of a win. On these results it's still too close to call. But remember the high turnout of approx. 80% which makes any poll based on 1,000 respondents a bit less accurate 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thepundit Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 52-48 in favour of No according to YouGov. Demoralising. If it's any consolation, the previous YouGov poll was (in my opinion) way too heavily weighted and had far more people who actually answered they would vote No, meaning Yes was never really ahead. That said, I'm not really going to celebrate a 52%-48% lead. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuckleMoo Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 52-48 in favour of No according to YouGov. Demoralising. I can live with that tbh. If the polls are as close as this come the 18th then I think we are still in with a real chance 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 I am quite happy to be going into the last 7 days on 48%. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 48% is still in the margin of error of a win. On these results it's still too close to call. But remember the high turnout of approx. 80% which makes any poll based on 1,000 respondents a bit less accurate Well no, it's not the size of the sample, simply that the BPC pollsters struggle to pick up on lapsed or new voters - you've already got an issue in all of them with false recall (i.e. 70% of the sample say they voted in 2011 when we know only 50% did) so you are over sampling on one part of the electorate. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alert Mongoose Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Would obviously like to be further ahead, but certainly a relief to see normality restored after a couple of disastrous weeks for our campaign. Interesting comment on the BBC News there, from a gent who said he'd already voted YES by post, but was now wondering if he'd 'done the right thing' after revelations over the last couple of days. Of course he did 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny van Axeldongen Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 Gordon Brown's up from 32% to 35%. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 What it does point to, assuming the BPC pollsters are accurate, is a very close result, one way or the other. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.