craigkillie Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 No...... Every media source seems to be reporting it as such - is there perhaps two different types of polling methodology in use from ICM. Could the 49-51 from a few days ago be using some different method? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 There seems to be 2 different results going about on twitter atm. It's definitely 48 Y 52 N 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Every media source seems to be reporting it as such - is there perhaps two different types of polling methodology in use from ICM. Could the 49-51 from a few days ago be using some different method? Unless they are going from their last ICM/Scotsman poll. Because it's Y down 6, N up 6 based on the 700 size poll from Saturday and 1 down based on the Guardian's telephone poll. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ludo*1 Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 This can't be seen as a good result, can it? Anyone watching the Dimbleby interviews? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lex Posted September 16, 2014 Author Share Posted September 16, 2014 I reckon ICM poll will hit 60% yes tonight :lol: 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Well Well Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Unless they are going from their last ICM/Scotsman poll. That is how they are reporting it 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Well Well Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 (edited) Gordon SmartVerified account @gordonsmartEditor, The Scottish Sun Perthshire/Glasgow/London · gordonmurraysmart.tumblr.com Gordon Smart @gordonsmart 14m I think it's time for @ScottishSun to have our say on the #indyref. Coming soon... Oh you tease...!!! Edited September 16, 2014 by Well Well 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEETHING Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 I keep shiting it a wee bit whenever I see a new poll that has No ahead, but then I remember that I've never been asked anything by a polling organisation. Presumably 95% of the country is in the same boat. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leggy Blonde Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 It's definitely 48 Y 52 N It was Eoin Clarke that tweeted it was Yes with a 4 point lead. He's sinced changed it. b*****d. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 This can't be seen as a good result, can it? Anyone watching the Dimbleby interviews? If you look at the median of recent results, it's in the mix, an is still technically a statistical tie. I think if Survation comes out the same we are going to go into polling day at 48-49% in the polls. Good enough? Depends on a lot of factors. The youth vote and C2D2E newly registered boters breaking yes, a soft edge to the yes vote, turnout...... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE KING Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Gordon (cod mouth)brown floundering on tv right now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QwaarJet Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 This can't be seen as a good result, can it? Anyone watching the Dimbleby interviews? Both polls aren't a bad result or a good one. It doesn't change much. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ludo*1 Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Scottish Sun gonna declare as No? The polls indicate it's going to be a No, and the Sun is the biggest whore out there, can't see them going for Yes no matter the coverage they've been dishing out. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alert Mongoose Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Gordon SmartVerified account @gordonsmartEditor, The Scottish Sun Perthshire/Glasgow/London · gordonmurraysmart.tumblr.com Gordon Smart @gordonsmart 14m I think it's time for @ScottishSun to have our say on the #indyref. Coming soon... Oh you tease...!!! Salmond's wife to be the first page 3 'pull out' in an independent Scotland. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue-Toon Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Gordon (cod mouth)brown floundering on tv right now. He hasn't even been asked a difficult question yet. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
invergowrie arab Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 I'm comfortable with these margins. The polls do seem to be converging but what they are converging is partial knowledge with so many first time and lapsed voters in the mix. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 I keep shiting it a wee bit whenever I see a new poll that has No ahead, but then I remember that I've never been asked anything by a polling organisation. Presumably 95% of the country is in the same boat. It doesn't work like that, a statistically significant sample should be able to discern to a reasonable degree od accuracy of a larger population, assuming it's weighed right of course. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beermonkey Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Gordon (cod mouth)brown floundering on tv right now. I've noticed the fake smile appearing a few times already, does anyone take this guy seriously ? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamaldo Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Scottish Sun gonna declare as No? The polls indicate it's going to be a No, and the Sun is the biggest whore out there, can't see them going for Yes no matter the coverage they've been dishing out. I wouldn't worry too much. Remember the anti-SNP front page on election day 2007? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
invergowrie arab Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Gordon SmartVerified account @gordonsmart Editor, The Scottish Sun Perthshire/Glasgow/London · gordonmurraysmart.tumblr.com 525] Gordon Smart @gordonsmart 14m I think it's time for @ScottishSun to have our say on the #indyref. Coming soon... Oh you tease...!!! Mealy mouthed half way house of an opinion please. Don't want their support. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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