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When will indyref2 happen?


Colkitto

Indyref2  

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My suspicion is that regionalists - sorry, proud and patriotic Scottish unionists - fear a second referendum more than the first because they know that, in the wake of the Brexit vote, there'll be no claiming that they want Scotland to remain in an equal partnership of nations. Next time they'll have to argue in favour of Scotland doing what the rest of the UK wants no matter what its people vote for at the ballot box. *Poof* goes "Scotland having a strong voice" and "Scotland leading the UK not leaving it".

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Right, humour me here;

The Claim of Right Act 1689, has it ever been repealed or superseded? If not, is that not bit of a constitutional headache for Westminster? I've found some articles referring to it, from both sides of the independence debate:

http://wingsoverscotland.com/weekend-sovereignty-for-dummies/

https://www.theyworkforyou.com/sp/?id=2012-01-26.38.30

Does this have basis? Or is this another "freeman on the land" bit of nonsense?

Edited by SweeperDee
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10 hours ago, SweeperDee said:

Right, humour me here;

The Claim of Right Act 1689, has it ever been repealed or superseded? If not, is that not bit of a constitutional headache for Westminster? I've found some articles referring to it, from both sides of the independence debate:

http://wingsoverscotland.com/weekend-sovereignty-for-dummies/

https://www.theyworkforyou.com/sp/?id=2012-01-26.38.30

Does this have basis? Or is this another "freeman on the land" bit of nonsense?

The last comment at the end of that wings article is incredibly pertinent along with the article itself. 

Good line of thought mate and something I'm going to look more into.

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Surely the diplomat can't argue with the bill of rights which has been checked, verified and confirmed as the big blue go button. King Eck saying earlier that the stars will align in 2018. Hurrah, I'll still have enough years in me to be Scottish in Scotland, and not kowtowing to anyone else

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Article 50 will be invoked early 2017. Will Sturgeon go for indyref2 within the 2 years? I think she will. 

I've no idea what the polls will be like in 2018/19, but even if they don't hit the fabled 60% I think she will still take the gamble.

I fully expect the Yes vote to be in the lead by then but perhaps we won't reach 60% in the next 5 to 10 years?    

She won't or perhaps can't wait that long to hold indyref2. Salmond predicting an other referendum in 2018 - I have to agree.

Many thought Sturgeon wouldn't hold indyref2 until she is absolutely sure of winning  with high lead in the polls. I've a feeling the lead won't be massive when we go to the polls again. I believe we're in for another nailbiter 

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So the" belt and braces" approach is dumped for a 2018 "take a gamble" approach even if polling suggests a defeat.Desperation to get the correct referendum result is going to crash and burn Indy2.That said i doubt even Nippy is daft enough for that approach.Hope so though..

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