Kyle Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 (edited) http://www.scotlandvotes.com/wshare/fg4q6vaadj They reckon SNP 51 (holding Perth and Moray) Tories 4 (Three borders seats and Aberdeenshire) Labour 2 (East Ren and Edinburgh South) Lib Dems 2 (East Dunbartonshire and Orkney & Shetland) Edited May 31, 2017 by Kyle 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 7 minutes ago, Sooky said: I'd happily take that right now tbh. I've always thought 12+ seats has been a fantasy, and this has been a fucking disaster of a campaign. All credit to Labour, they've ran a very good election so far. Using the Scotland Votes modeling tool gives you a slightly different set of numbers. ultimately it's all down to the local constituency terrain, rather than uniform swings but for what it's worth: 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, Kyle said: http://www.scotlandvotes.com/wshare/fg4q6vaadj Looks more like it than what STV are claiming: SNP 51, Con 3, Lab 2, Libs 1. Think local swings would still give East Lothian to Labour and East Dubartonshire and Edinburgh West to the Lib Dems even on those numbers. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 The terrible thing about that model is the idea of that fucking Tuba boy in parliament..... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 Just now, renton said: The terrible thing about that model is the idea of that fucking Tuba boy in parliament..... I'm not convinced he'll make it. I think the affluent areas are far more likely to go for Tories than labour candidates considering the potential prime ministers at the end of it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bob Mahelp Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 I'd laugh ma c0ck off if these polls north and south of the border turned out to be true. The Tories have been bigging themselves up so much (with the help of their pet press) that anything short of a massive majority in Westminster combined with the collapse of the SNP vote in Scotland must be looked upon as failure. A hung parliament would see internal chaos in the Tory party and May would find it impossible to survive. Combine that with 50 seats and a strong vote for the SNP, and Buffalo Bob's arrogance, bile and bluster would be silenced. Let's hope to God it turns out that way. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikingTON Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 Labour are currently 16/1 in East Renfrewshire on Paddy Power. Their constituency odds are really back of a fag packet stuff at the moment so it could be worth a small investment. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 50+ seats would be superb for the SNP I'll laugh my cock off if the Tories fail to win a majority 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fide Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 1 hour ago, Kyle said: http://www.scotlandvotes.com/wshare/fg4q6vaadj They reckon SNP 51 (holding Perth and Moray) Tories 4 (Three borders seats and Aberdeenshire) Labour 2 (East Ren and Edinburgh South) Lib Dems 2 (East Dunbartonshire and Orkney & Shetland) I have more chance of winning East Ren than Tuba Boy. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 31, 2017 Author Share Posted May 31, 2017 A lot of people laughing their cocks of on this thread 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DublinMagyar Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 A lot of people laughing their cocks of on this thread [emoji38] He who laughs lastWill have his pick..... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 31, 2017 Author Share Posted May 31, 2017 He who laughs lastWill have his p***k..... Ftfy 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alan Stubbs Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 1 hour ago, virginton said: Labour are currently 16/1 in East Renfrewshire on Paddy Power. Their constituency odds are really back of a fag packet stuff at the moment so it could be worth a small investment. Seems that way. Tories are 6/4 in Edinburgh North and Leith decpite coming 3rd on 16% of the vote last time. Labour, who lost by a few thousand votes, are at 10s. That's not to say the Tories won't win it but I fancy there to be one or two 10/1+ outcomes on the day. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 So, here's that YouGov model methodology https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/31/how-yougov-model-2017-general-election-works/ https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 This is pretty out there stuff from yougov. It's giving me false hope. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 31, 2017 Author Share Posted May 31, 2017 This is pretty out there stuff from yougov. It's giving me false hope. Could you imagine the scenes if May gets booted out and Corybn breezes in... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crùbag Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, Kyle said: This is pretty out there stuff from yougov. It's giving me false hope. Yeah, would love a hung parly but I reckon YouGov can only go so far. A lot of the grey vote who'll still vote Tory, if they're not scared of by dementia tax, probably aren't signed up. Ditto, a lot of the working class and young vote who might come and vote but who would probably also vote in Indyref2. Lets face it, it's only the active and interested - geeks - who will sign up to YouGov. Swings and roundabouts. Edited May 31, 2017 by Crùbag 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 Westminster voting intention: CON: 42% (-1) LAB: 39% (+3) LDEM: 7% (-2) UKIP: 4% (-) (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May) Oh my. I'm guessing this is a normal poll with existing methodology. A 3 point Tory lead. Its on lads. It. Is. On. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BFTD Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 No doubt election night will end up being a miserable, predictable affair, but these polls are fucking hilarious 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedford White Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, Kyle said: Westminster voting intention: CON: 42% (-1) LAB: 39% (+3) LDEM: 7% (-2) UKIP: 4% (-) (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May) Oh my. I'm guessing this is a normal poll with existing methodology. A 3 point Tory lead. Its on lads. It. Is. On. Oh Jeremy Corbyn! Wins leadership election as 100-1 outsider. Tories are cacking it he's going to repeat it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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