RH33 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 hours ago, die hard doonhamer said: That’s insane, so as you say it’s probably correct. It is, my friend tested positive at start of week and has to isolate ten days. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Have some faith in Magic Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, Detournement said: If the data doesn't suit, don't publish it. Sturgeon treating Covid like the Salmond inquiry now. I thought they said yesterday it was Friday it was getting published. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Detournement said: If the data doesn't suit, don't publish it. Sturgeon treating Covid like the Salmond inquiry now. Sturgeon said yesterday that it would be released on Friday. He must have tweeted that before her statement. Edited January 6, 2022 by welshbairn 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottsdad Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 One in the eye for @oaksoft I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from? Spoiler Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and mitigation options. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikingTON Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 15 minutes ago, Distant Doonhamer said: 11,360 new cases of COVID-19 reported* 57,217 new tests for COVID-19 that reported results* 23.1% of these were positive 18 new reported death(s) of people who have tested positive 43 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 Positivity rate dropping like a stone, despite the pointless demand from the nation's malingerers. ICU numbers utterly miniscule despite their massaging of the figures. Only the infection factories can prolong the shandemic now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Honest_Man#1 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 1 minute ago, scottsdad said: One in the eye for @oaksoft I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from? Reveal hidden contents Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and mitigation options. A respiratory virus that is much higher risk for overweight people. Gurdasani’s life saving tip - avoid the gym. f**k off you utter crackpot. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superbigal Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 The 7 day (With 3 day Lag) cases per 100K has actually dropped from 2,078 per 100K reported yesterday to 2,062 per 100K today. Let's see if the so called surge continues. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikingTON Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, scottsdad said: One in the eye for @oaksoft I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from? Hide contents Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and mitigation options. Using one shan model and combining it with another shan model = shan modelling squared. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted January 6, 2022 Author Share Posted January 6, 2022 What's the definition of low and high occupancy? Just wondering if I'm going to get Covid from the gym. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Fifer Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Hope we're all looking forward to these Covid hopsital stats being released at 16:59 tomorrow before the out-of-office messages are on and ministers go into hiding until Tuesday until they can they can announce their "quality assured" data now lets us sit outside at the fitba again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bairnardo Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Humza in the media saying the case rates are now following the worst case from their models?Forgive me if im wrong, but thays just not true is it?And tbh, if it is, and thats important in any way, why did Scotgov not only allow thr most social part of the year to go ahead, but close off various avenues that only drove more folk into more time mixing in private households? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael W Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 (edited) 23 minutes ago, oaksoft said: I was actually just having a look at that tweet. Poor old Deepti. Confusing computational predictions with reality. Again! She seems to be intent on destroying her professional reputation. I do wonder how she ever gets any real work done, given that she spends so much of her day spamming her own Twitter timeline. I don't think I've ever seen her publish anything, which may explain the time available for Twitter. Given her particular fascination with long covid, especially in children, I'd have expected to see her publishing papers on this. But she doesn't - just twitter rants instead with unsourced numbers or something based on a self-report survey (not exactly scientific, is it?). Looks like there's a good opportunity for fake sage to start punting non-medical grade facemasks since Julia Grace Patterson seems to having a nightmare at the moment. Edited January 6, 2022 by Michael W 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abdul_Latif Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Big Fifer said: released at 16:59 tomorrow before the out-of-office messages are on That’s right out my playbook tbh. Beautiful tactic on a Friday afternoon. Edited January 6, 2022 by Abdul_Latif 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottsdad Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, scottsdad said: One in the eye for @oaksoft I have downloaded the paper...wanna guess where these numbers come from? Reveal hidden contents Here, we use a box model to estimate the viral aerosol concentration indoors and combine it with the Wells−Riley infection model.29 The combined model is used to derive two quantitative risk parameters that allow comparing the relative risk of transmission in different situations when sharing room air. We explore the trends in infections observed in outbreaks of COVID-19 and other diseases as a function of these parameters. Finally, we use the parameters to quantify a graphical display of the relative risk of different situations and mitigation options. I hate to quote myself but here's something. The image in the tweet above is not in the paper referenced. What is in the paper is this: They are saying this is the same methodology applied to Omicron, which has not been peer reviewed. Dangers of reading tweets about scientific papers rather than the papers themselves, I guess. In the case of this paper, I got it because I have access via my university. Most twitter followers would have to shell out to buy it. Edited January 6, 2022 by scottsdad 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forever_blueco Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 (edited) 40 minutes ago, Bairnardo said: Humza in the media saying the case rates are now following the worst case from their models? Forgive me if im wrong, but thays just not true is it? And tbh, if it is, and thats important in any way, why did Scotgov not only allow thr most social part of the year to go ahead, but close off various avenues that only drove more folk into more time mixing in private households? Humza is the most out of depth politician (Scotland)this country has ever produced and that is saying something how he goes from one top position to another is telling . Also telling that he has been absolutely hopeless in every single role Edited January 6, 2022 by Forever_blueco 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
101 Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, Forever_blueco said: Humza is the most out of depth politician (Scotland)this country has ever produced and that is saying something how he goes from one top position to another is telling . Also telling that he has been absolutely hopeless in every single role And yet still oversaw the delivery of the 3rd fastest booster role out in the world. At least base your criticism in some form of reality 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lyle Lanley Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael W Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, 101 said: And yet still oversaw the delivery of the 3rd fastest booster role out in the world. At least base your criticism in some form of reality You can say similar things about Matt Hancock and the vaccine rollout. The man was still fucking useless. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abdul_Latif Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, 101 said: And yet still oversaw the delivery of the 3rd fastest booster role out in the world. At least base your criticism in some form of reality Lolz - overseen ordering and distributing possibly. NHS trusts did the real work. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MP_MFC Posted January 6, 2022 Share Posted January 6, 2022 Humza in the media saying the case rates are now following the worst case from their models?Forgive me if im wrong, but thays just not true is it?And tbh, if it is, and thats important in any way, why did Scotgov not only allow thr most social part of the year to go ahead, but close off various avenues that only drove more folk into more time mixing in private households?Someone posted the graph earlier I’m sure and it is in the wide range of their worst case scenario but it’s probably in the lower half of this range and also I believe the model was only up until late December so we’re about 2 weeks further on than it and the levelling off has begun. Hospital rates are way below, deaths and ICU more so. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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