Detournement Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, NotThePars said: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/burst-pipe-delays-atlanta-absentee-vote-433988 Stuffing towels under the doors and pouring oil over everything by mistake Reminds me of the Dundee fire alarm and the broken down van in the Highlands in 2014. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amandajoan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Holy something. Trump now 3/10 to win. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotThePars Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 I'm going to bed. If Biden fucks this I'm launching an expedition to compromise Nate Silver and 538 to a permanent end. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGoon Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Aye it’s done. Fucking hell. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 You know, if Trump loses Ohio it will be by a whisker. 5,340 people have died of coronavirus in Ohio. Nearly 9,000 in Pennsylvania too. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GNU_Linux Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The Dems are the Atlanta Falcons of the political world. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Nearly 1/4 now, Democrats need to learn how to put cement on their blue wall. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
101 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Boris will be delighted, no chance Biden was doing a trade deal if he ripped up the good Friday agreement. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 A lot of despair around. Bear in mind that Democrats were ready to hang themselves after Florida in the 2018 midterms, but it didn't reflect the national picture. Trump won Ohio 52.1 to 43.5 last time, so by 8.6. According to the 538 polling average, Trump had a 0.8 polling lead there. He's currently up by 4 there, which would be a swing of 4.6 against him. That would not be enough to win him Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Michigan. Trump is still losing the Upper Midwest. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Must be some value in Biden at 4/1 or more before Pennsylvania is declared. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Have some faith in Magic Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Read reports that Johnson was waiting to see if trump one before diving all in for no deal. Can absolutely see him thinking that way. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comrie Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The rust belt looks like it's going to be all or nothing for Biden. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Detournement Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Nate Cohn saying Trump is looking strong in Penn counties. Biden looking good in Arizona. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden still has a hulking lead in Arizona after 73% reported. If he wins that he doesn't even need Pennsylvania - but he'd need one of the districts in Maine and Nebraska to tie, and both to win. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, NotThePars said: I'm going to bed. If Biden fucks this I'm launching an expedition to compromise Nate Silver and 538 to a permanent end. Too many people were losing sight of the possibility that there was a strong pro-Biden bias in large portions of the US media that was likely to blind people to the possibility that the polling numbers they were reporting were not being weighted properly to fully quantify shy Trump support. Fingers crossed it still works out OK for the Democrats in the end, but not surprised this has turned into a nailbiter. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, 101 said: Boris will be delighted, no chance Biden was doing a trade deal if he ripped up the good Friday agreement. The House has to ratify a trade deal; they won’t if the GFI is jeopardised. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMMjag Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) A Trump win goes down as probably the biggest polling fail in political history. 2016 was one thing, but that would surely render a host of specky nerds redundant. Nonetheless I don't see much reason yet to completely lose hope in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, not to mention current signs that Arizona is leaning in Biden's favour. Edited November 4, 2020 by AMMjag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hedgecutter Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden to scrape it but Donald 'I love a lawsuit' Trump to somehow win it through the courts IMO. Carnage with tears and snotters all over the place. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Back into 5/2. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
101 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Granny Danger said: The House has to ratify a trade deal; they won’t if the GFI is jeopardised. True. I hope that they stand fast 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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