MEADOWXI Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 Just now, Granny Danger said: I’ll be astounded if the Lib Dems get 48 seats*. If they do they will be intolerable. * that statement could, of course, come back to bite me. Think a bit of tactical voting in their target areas, like the SW could push them along, then again with the Davey campaigning style as it is they may not. Could have easily put them at anything between 8 and 48 LoL. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 4 minutes ago, MEADOWXI said: Think a bit of tactical voting in their target areas, like the SW could push them along, then again with the Davey campaigning style as it is they may not. Could have easily put them at anything between 8 and 48 LoL. They'll pick up the "anyone but the Tory" vote in the South of England. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky88 Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 If the Lib dems do badly the Tories will have had a pretty good result 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JS_FFC Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 1 hour ago, Granny Danger said: I’ll be astounded if the Lib Dems get 48 seats*. If they do they will be intolerable. * that statement could, of course, come back to bite me. Even if the Lib Dem’s don’t gain a single vote compared to last time, they can win dozens of seats just because of the conservatives going backwards (and one or two from the SNP as well) 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JS_FFC Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 1 hour ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: Labour shooting themselves in the foot today may turn out to be harmful if the fuss about it drags on. Talk of “hung Parliament due to Diane Abbott” is absolutely mental to me. Not only are the MPs being purged loyalists to the most electorally toxic leader of the opposition in Labour Party history, but your average voter in a marginal seat doesn’t even know who Diane Abbott is. The Tory media are completely chasing their own tails on this story. -1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakedee Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 48 minutes ago, JS_FFC said: Not only are the MPs being purged loyalists to the most electorally toxic leader of the opposition in Labour Party history, but your average voter in a marginal seat doesn’t even know who Diane Abbott is. You mean socialists? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 (edited) 51 minutes ago, JS_FFC said: Talk of “hung Parliament due to Diane Abbott” is absolutely mental to me. Not only are the MPs being purged loyalists to the most electorally toxic leader of the opposition in Labour Party history, but your average voter in a marginal seat doesn’t even know who Diane Abbott is. The Tory media are completely chasing their own tails on this story. It doesn't need to be many to have an affect though. Edited May 30 by DeeTillEhDeh 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forest_Fifer Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 3 hours ago, MEADOWXI said: Think the Sunak ship is not so much sinking as sunk. Can see them being absolutely battered in England Labour 347 Tory 198 (they will fall below 200MPs) Lib Dem 48 SNP 31 Nth Ireland - 18 - pass on breaking that down Plaid 4 Green 1 The Corbyn Abbott Alliance 2 (think Diane will tell Keir to get stuffed and stand as an Independent on platform with Corbyn). Speaker 1 And Galloway to get the boot in the pie he duly deserves. The tories would bite your hand off for 198 MPs. They won't get close to that. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark Connolly Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 4 hours ago, MEADOWXI said: Speaker 1 It annoys the f**k out of me that there is that convention that Labour, Tory and Lib Dem don't stand against the speaker. There's nothing I'd like to see more than that c**t Hoyle out on his arse 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JS_FFC Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 10 minutes ago, Mark Connolly said: It annoys the f**k out of me that there is that convention that Labour, Tory and Lib Dem don't stand against the speaker. There's nothing I'd like to see more than that c**t Hoyle out on his arse The whole system would fall apart if this convention was abolished. The speaker has to renounce their party leanings and be neutral. If they had to stand against other parties they’d have to campaign politically which would breach the neutrality. Even at Holyrood the speaker usually resigns at the next election. The late Sir Alex Fergusson didn’t and it caused some low level controversy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted May 30 Share Posted May 30 Just now, JS_FFC said: The whole system would fall apart if this convention was abolished. The speaker has to renounce their party leanings and be neutral. If they had to stand against other parties they’d have to campaign politically which would breach the neutrality. Even at Holyrood the speaker usually resigns at the next election. The late Sir Alex Fergusson didn’t and it caused some low level controversy. You know there’s a joke thread in GN? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted June 12 Author Share Posted June 12 (edited) Final predictions unless I change them: Labour 412 Tory 144 Lib Dem 35 SNP 30 DUP 8 (Sinn Fein 8) Plaid Cymru 4 Green Party E&W 2 Reform 2 Workers' Party 1 SDLP 1 Alliance 1 Independent - Jeremy Corbyn 1 (Speaker 1) Labour majority 174, effective majority 183 Edited June 12 by Bully Wee Villa 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jedi2 Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 With 2 weeks to go.. Labour 461 Tory 100 Lib Dem 47 SNP 20 DUP 7 (Sinn Fein 7) Plaid Cymru 3 Green Party E&W 2 Reform 1 Workers' Party 0 SDLP 1 UUP 1 Alliance 1 Majority: 271 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted June 15 Author Share Posted June 15 I don't think you can have an odd majority with an even number of MPs. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lichtgilphead Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 Uh @Jedi2 Does that not total 651 MP's, and take no account of the fact that Chorley will elect the Speaker? What constituencies do the 2 additional MP's represent? Why not stop posting shite that can easily be disproved? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lichtgilphead Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 1 hour ago, Jedi2 said: With 2 weeks to go.. Labour 461 Tory 100 Lib Dem 47 SNP 20 DUP 7 (Sinn Fein 7) Plaid Cymru 3 Green Party E&W 2 Reform 1 Workers' Party 0 SDLP 1 UUP 1 Alliance 1 Majority: 271 Thought I had better quote the original post in case @Jedi2 sneakily amended it 461+100+47+20 +7+7+3+2+1+1+1+1=651 seats 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Is Reform really going to win seats? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BFTD Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 11 minutes ago, Granny Danger said: Is Reform really going to win seats? Everyone's assuming Farage is finally getting in. Probably helps that the press have been triumphantly running talking heads from Clacton that have been universally supportive. Anyone in the area who isn't a fascist must be absolutely mortified at how the area's being painted. In reality they may well end up with the same, or fewer MPs than they currently have. I do wonder how many of the former Conservative MPs who switched to Labour to save their jobs because of ideological differences are wishing they'd maybe stuck it out a bit longer and followed 30p Lee now that REFUK are polling so well. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eindhovendee Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 15 minutes ago, Granny Danger said: Is Reform really going to win seats? Farage is odds on (1/4) with most bookies to win. Tice and Ashfield are both around 3/1 as second favourites in their constituencies so unlikely. It gives them one seat, and him repeating immigration every 10 seconds for 5 years. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 If Farage becomes an MP the absolutely worst thing that can happen is other MPs referencing him. The best tactic would be to completely ignore him. Let’s face it he will get (even) more coverage by the MSM, no point in his fellow Parliamentarians helping out. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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