Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Not sure how you reckon we're humped for top spot? The most likely outcome is that Netherlands win but they'd have to go at nearly 13 an over to finish above us. Don't forget they need to make absolutely sure they win to get a playoff place. If they lose they finish fifth in the group. Your calculations are pretty much correct but there is a further complication depending on how many Netherlands score. They need 98 to win so the minimum score they can get, should they win, is obviously 98. However, they could get as high as 103, in the unlikely event that they hit a six to win the match, with the scores level prior to that. To summarise: Kenya win: Kenya finish top No result or tie: Scotland finish top Netherlands win in 7.4 overs of fewer: Netherlands finish top Netherlands win in 8.2 overs or more: Scotland finish top Netherlands win in 7.5-8.1 overs: Netherlands or Scotland finish top depending on how many runs Netherlands score above the 98 target. Because I fancy Netherlands to get these pretty comfortably, though if they lose a couple of early wickets they might just settle down and bat it out normally. They got to 64/0 off 4 overs yesterday so the openers can certainly give it some tap. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 (edited) Well, maybe. Hopefully they'll win without going too mad! 22 for 1 off 1.5 so far. Just behind the run rate required to finish top but expect them to up it if they have wickets in hand and are in a position where they know they'll win easily. Edited July 18, 2015 by Bully Wee Villa 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 26 for 1 off 2 now, just above the required qualification run rate. At least if the worst happens, Scotland have two chances to qualify. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 60 for 1 off 4.4. Kenya need to break this partnership to slow them down. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 The 7th and 8th overs being non-powerplay might help. 36 needed off between 16 and 20. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 And a 4 run no ball boundary and free hit. Seriously, f**k you Kenya. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 71 for 1 off 5.1... looking grim. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 25 needed off between 10 and 14. This is more like a Amiga computer game waiting for the score to update. Powerplay over, at least they can put a couple more men on the fence, not that it'll help them. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 77 for 3 off 6.5... Scotland looking good now! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 They need 17 off four balls... possibly could still qualify if they get between 18-22 off seven balls. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Two sixes! FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 This is mental, ICC has it as 96/5 from 7.5, if they hit a 6 in the next 2 balls they can still win. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Now back to back wickets! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Scores level after 8 overs... fetch the calculators. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Scores level off 8. They need a six off the next ball to qualify... I think. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 No run! Scotland qualify... PROBABLY! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Another wicket after 8.2 overs now, that must be it- incredible, would have something else to actually watch. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Netherlands win off 8.3 overs. I'm pretty sure Scotland are through. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Finished with a wide, get it up them , take back everything I said Kenya. Some boys. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 That was insane, like the most nerve-wracking game of Championship Manager 93/94 ever except you couldn't make any subs or tactical changes. I think Netherlands finished with NRR of 1.15 vs our 1.20. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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