dorlomin Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Colkitto said: No, exit polls were spot on http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-scotland-32633029 Slightly low for the tories, about 30 seats or something. Nailed Scotland. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMDP Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Am sure last time they predicted conservatives largest party but not a majority. -2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lurkst Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, 1320Lichtie said: Were they not quite a bit off last time? 2 minutes ago, Colkitto said: No, exit polls were spot on The 2015 exit polls got the Scottish result pretty much bang on, I think ITV & BBC had different UK outcomes though (can't recall who was right or wrong). 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The 2015 exit polls got the Scottish result pretty much bang on, I think ITV & BBC had different UK outcomes though (can't recall who was right or wrong). I'm sure BBC/ITV/SKY use the exact same exit poll. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Labour staffers laughing at the suggestion of a hung parliament and the Tories bouyant. This is going to be a long, shite night. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamin_Nevis Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 37 minutes ago, ICTChris said: I think the polls that have the SNP dropping 10+ seats are wrong. I always think that as the incumbents they have the edge and not many of the seats are particularly marginal. I'd be amazed if they lost places like Moray. We will see of course, I have a terrible record at predictions. From a P&B perspective, heavy SNP losses would be pretty funny, lots of heads gone potential. Same if they hold all their seats. It's going to be like an old firm game from a neutral's perspective. You hope for an absolute hammering for one side or the other, with wild challenges, red cards and generally scenes all over the place, then you get a tedious uneventful low score bore with a lot of shouting but little excitement. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkey Tennis Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Kyle said: Labour staffers laughing at the suggestion of a hung parliament and the Tories bouyant. This is going to be a long, shite night. Yes, I think this is going to be grim. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dorlomin Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 How the exit poll works http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/statistics/staff/academic-research/firth/exit-poll-explainer/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ivo den Bieman Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 16 minutes ago, Kyle said: Labour staffers laughing at the suggestion of a hung parliament and the Tories bouyant. This is going to be a long, shite night. where is this? in Perth? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dorlomin Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 And for the last time Just over 45 minutes now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ivo den Bieman said: where is this? in Perth? ITV journalist said Tory hq is in bouyant mood daily mirror journalist asked a labour staffer if it'll be a hung parliament and he laughed in a non-laugh kind of way. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted June 8, 2017 Author Share Posted June 8, 2017 Were they not quite a bit off last time? Not really... bang on nearly, even had busted flush on 8...You gov did a phone poll which they released on election night after 10. This was not an exit poll and was miles off.Proper exit poll which is the one announced at 10 will be more or less bang on 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky88 Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 1 hour ago, ICTChris said: I think the polls that have the SNP dropping 10+ seats are wrong. I always think that as the incumbents they have the edge and not many of the seats are particularly marginal. I'd be amazed if they lost places like Moray. We will see of course, I have a terrible record at predictions. From a P&B perspective, heavy SNP losses would be pretty funny, lots of heads gone potential. Same if they hold all their seats. I could understand why moray or Angus, maybe even Gordon could go because of the strength of the Leave vote. If they do, the story is a bit more than a redistribution of unionist votes from labour to Tories. Still think SNP will get 50 seats, maybe more. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F_T_Y Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 possible labour scenes afoot. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaz Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 This is going to be fucking grim. 50+ seat majority for the tories, SNP to lose 10+ seats. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BradHorse Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Why are the bad guys gonna win? What is that? Why? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The BBC news website is saying it could be a hung parliament based on their exit poll. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Exit poll has Tories short of a majority. Con - 314Lab - 266SNP - 34LD - 14Holy shit 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Also claims the SNP will get only 34 seats/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jan Vojáček Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 The SNP will not lose that many seats. Not a chance. They will lose 15/16 at the absolute max imo. Very interesting night ahead though. Absolutely buzzing. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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