Guest bernardblack Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Football focus earlier really hit home how good a run we are on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antiochas III Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, Am Featha *****h Nan Clach said: I've not seen the odds, but i'd put our chance of winning at about 35% Bookies basically going 50/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Bookies basically going 50/50 I've just had a look. You're talking nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forameus Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 Betfair have us as slight favourites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loonytoons Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 39 minutes ago, Monkey Tennis said: Depriving Slovakia of points that would elevate them in the table obviously counts. Am I being whoooshed? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 People clearly not understanding the difference between the team most likely to win and the chance of them winning. Have you just completely forgotten a draw exists? Deary me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forameus Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 Just now, Am Featha *****h Nan Clach said: People clearly not understanding the difference between the team most likely to win and the chance of them winning. Have you just completely forgotten a draw exists? Deary me I'll say again, Betfair have us as slight favourites ahead of Slovenia, with the draw the longest odds. Deary me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DublinMagyar Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 I've just had a look. You're talking nonsense. Betfair has Scotland's slight favs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 I'll say again, Betfair have us as slight favourites ahead of Slovenia, with the draw the longest odds. Deary me. Betfair has Scotland's slight favs Sigh. This means that if one of the two teams were to win (and the match was not drawn) then Scotland are the marginaly more likely to win.Had a look at oddschecker. The 'best' odds on Scotland is 7/4. This is a 36% chance of winning.The 'worst' odds on Scotland winning is 6/4. This is a 40% chance of winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Do i sense an 'oh, f**k he's right?' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HibeeJibee Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 1 hour ago, Monkey Tennis said: Depriving Slovakia of points that would elevate them in the table obviously counts. Am I being whoooshed? Your predicament actually happened in real life in the EOS Qualifying League a few years ago. There was 1 section of 6 clubs and 4 sections of 5 clubs, with the winners progressing to League Cup R1, and the runners-up and vitally best-3rd-place progressing to League Cup Preliminary. In order to decide that, the result of 3rd-place versus 6th-place was discounted in Section A. Manager of club which finished 3rd in Section A (but not best-3rd overall) had a blog... he thought all results against 6th in Section A should be discounted when deciding the finishing positions in that section, before moving on to deciding best-3rd-place. Under this interpretation they'd coincidentally have finished 2nd instead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alan Stubbs Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 7/4 = 50/50 aye? Hope none of you live near a casino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forameus Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Alan Stubbs said: 7/4 = 50/50 aye? Hope none of you live near a casino. I never said the odds were 50/50 (which they're not), I just personally put a 50/50 shot on it. I'd usually put Slovenia as slight favourites, but I think our contrasting situations put us slightly closer. It's still a toss-up though, probably entirely depending on whether we decide to remember Tbilisi or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiviLion Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Slovenia might be as good as out but they'll be wanting to keep that record of not conceding at their own place. There's also rankings to think about which stop any international game being truly meaningless. Think it'll be very similar to Thursday night with us knocking on the door, but I've got a horrible feeling we won't get that 89th minute winner this time. Considering we were all agreed we were out a year ago, we've done fucking brilliantly to get in this position. Frustrating though to think about if we weren't shitebags against Lithuania and Harry Kane never existed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiviLion Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Also... 22 hours ago, LiviLion said: My bets never win. Here we fucking go. You're welcome btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 I'll say again, Betfair have us as slight favourites ahead of Slovenia, with the draw the longest odds. Deary me. I never said the odds were 50/50 (which they're not), I just personally put a 50/50 shot on it. I'd usually put Slovenia as slight favourites, but I think our contrasting situations put us slightly closer. It's still a toss-up though, probably entirely depending on whether we decide to remember Tbilisi or not. You have literally no idea how odds convert to percentage chance of outcome. Please stop prentending otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forameus Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 Just now, Am Featha *****h Nan Clach said: You have literally no idea how odds convert to percentage chance of outcome. Please stop prentending otherwise 6 minutes ago, forameus said: I never said the odds were 50/50 (which they're not), I just personally put a 50/50 shot on it. I'd usually put Slovenia as slight favourites, but I think our contrasting situations put us slightly closer. It's still a toss-up though, probably entirely depending on whether we decide to remember Tbilisi or not. Hope that helps for you, pal. I'm not talking about odds in that post, I'm talking about my own personal feeling on it. Which I thought was pretty obvious, but if you'd like me to go and edit it to make it a little clearer, happy to go and do that for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Distant Doonhamer Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Ladbrokes has Slovenia at 7/4, Scotland at 17/10 and draw at 2/1. It will be gutting but hardly a surprise if we don`t win. Already anxious. Need more wine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Am Featha Taigh Nan Clach Posted October 7, 2017 Share Posted October 7, 2017 Hope that helps for you, pal. I'm not talking about odds in that post, I'm talking about my own personal feeling on it. Which I thought was pretty obvious, but if you'd like me to go and edit it to make it a little clearer, happy to go and do that for you. You said 'Betfair have us as slight favourites' as your justification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forameus Posted October 7, 2017 Author Share Posted October 7, 2017 Just now, Am Featha *****h Nan Clach said: You said 'Betfair have us as slight favourites' as your justification. 7 minutes ago, forameus said: Hope that helps for you, pal. I'm not talking about odds in that post, I'm talking about my own personal feeling on it. Which I thought was pretty obvious, but if you'd like me to go and edit it to make it a little clearer, happy to go and do that for you. "That post" being the one you quoted, which mentioned nothing about Betfair. If you're going to go diving in, at least address the right post. I'll make it nice and clear though. I don't care what the bookies say. I personally have the chances at around 50/50, for the reasons I've now stated twice. That cool with you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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