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Coronavirus (COVID-19)


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11 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said:

Make your mind up what you are saying then. Pretty rare means something different from "no flu". Influenza got outcompeted by COVID-19 due to COVID's much higher R0 and the absence of any prior immunity within the population but it wasn't eliminated by it or by the restrictions and will bounce back again in future. To get back to your original point check out what the models claimed should happen with COVID-19 in Sweden in April 2020 when they didn't go completely overboard on restrictions and what actually happened there.

The initial modelling that led to Boris going bananas over Dyson ventilators that were never needed and overdoing it on the lockdown restrictions (note I am not saying that there wasn't a need for any restrictions at that point or that none were in place in Sweden) got it wrong because COVID's IFR turned out to be about an order of magnitude lower than what was being fed into the models based on initial CFR numbers from Wuhan.

Or it could be that mitigations have been more effective against flu than covid, aided by our higher immunity. Covid doesn't stop people getting the flu.

https://www.healthline.com/health-news/why-the-flu-season-basically-disappeared-this-year

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5 minutes ago, Detournement said:

A winter of restrictions up here while England is open will turn a lot of people against her.

It really won't. The demographic I referred to think the world of her for caring so much more and saving lives.

5 minutes ago, Detournement said:

Glasgow was pretty busy when I was in town last night. People aren't buying into the idea that this is a serious crisis at the moment.

This does not counter the point above. People now have it ingrained that it is people going to football matches, going to concerts, and standing up in pubs that are the problem. These people are "selfish," "Rangers fans," "Tories" or "bitter Unionists."

People that don't do those things will happily pack shops and sit at their pre-booked table in a bar or restaurant (wear their mask as soon as they leave their seat) fully believing that they are different and being safe, responsible, and "saving the NHS."

They view these things as such because NS, JL etc have told them that this is the case.

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7 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said:

Probably very little to do with the data and more the 100+ Tory backbenchers who voted against restrictions.

The other 3 nations don't really have any opposition within their assemblies/Parliament - and the Stalinist control of the SNP over its MSPs means it's never going to happen here.

Except for the fact they’re rebelling because of the data.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/25/dodgy-data-used-push-tighter-covid-restrictions/

Edited by Left Back
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2 minutes ago, welshbairn said:

Or it could be that mitigations have been more effective against flu than covid, aided by our higher immunity. Covid doesn't stop people getting the flu.

https://www.healthline.com/health-news/why-the-flu-season-basically-disappeared-this-year

https://www.sciencefocus.com/news/having-a-cold-blocks-you-from-catching-the-flu/

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-56483445

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You must be traveling on a particularly bourgeois service, because the Lee Wallace brigade are conspicuous by their lowly deference in west-central Scotland.  

I’m not in anyway a hard looking c**t but since I’ve entered my 30s I’ve always found a dry and firm “whits that got tae dae wi you” will get you the peace you need, most folk are shitebags who don’t like confrontation
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26 minutes ago, Scary Bear said:

Not sure that’s how it works. Surely the more folk testing and getting negative results, the better. I’ve not had so much as a sniffle for years now - touch wood - so no point to test really. I just do it for my fellow citizens. I should really get an award 🥇. No doubt one of Nicola’s minions is thrashing that out, getting focus groups involved, and I will be awarded it presently.

:lol:

A CBE - Covid Benefactor Extrodinaire

Edited by Jacksgranda
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10 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said:

Probably very little to do with the data and more the 100+ Tory backbenchers who voted against restrictions.
 

The howls of protest from the public health lobby about 'Reckless Tory Freedom Day!' in July (which resulted in lower cases than under restrictions) trashed the authority of SAGE, never mind the Gurdasani brigade. Which left the data for Omicron alone - obvious back of a fag packet nonsense in the UK context, and demonstrated to be inaccurate by all the real-world evidence streaming in from South Africa. 

That is the context in which a rebellion was possible and it was absolutely informed by the data. Or at least, the knowledge that the data being presented to the public and Parliament alike was both incomplete and misleading.

 

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From what I've read most rebelled because of the civil liberty issues of Johnson's plans - data had very little to do with it.

Johnson is acting to protect his own backside. That's not a defence of the other 3 nations BTW - it looks to me that Drakeford and Givan (and before him Foster) are as intrinsically conservative as we know Sturgeon is. And with zero opposition within their parties or from the opposition itself we won't see the sort of opposition we've seen at Westminster.
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Just now, DeeTillEhDeh said:

From what I've read most rebelled because of the civil liberty issues of Johnson's plans - data had very little to do with it.

Johnson is acting to protect his own backside. That's not a defence of the other 3 nations BTW - it looks to me that Drakeford and Givan (and before him Foster) are intrinsically conservative as we know Sturgeon is. And with zero opposition within their parties or from the opposition itself we won't see the sort of opposition we've seen at Westminster.

The DUP want to open things up a bit (or, at least not impose more restrictions protection) but the other parties are agin it.

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20 minutes ago, Todd_is_God said:

It really won't. The demographic I referred to think the world of her for caring so much more and saving lives.

This does not counter the point above. People now have it ingrained that it is people going to football matches, going to concerts, and standing up in pubs that are the problem. These people are "selfish," "Rangers fans," "Tories" or "bitter Unionists."

People that don't do those things will happily pack shops and sit at their pre-booked table in a bar or restaurant (wear their mask as soon as they leave their seat) fully believing that they are different and being safe, responsible, and "saving the NHS."

They view these things as such because NS, JL etc have told them that this is the case.

It has definitely become more polarised and the mask- theatre is a classic example (and why it’s probably been used as a free- cost to government and highly visible method of compliance). We were out for a few drinks last night and there was zero table service, young folk hugging and dancing around etc but then you’d get the rare person pop on a filthy cloth rag to walk literally a few paces to the toilet.
Great to see folk ignoring Sturgeon’s “heads gone” egotistical rules  tbh and hopefully replicated throughout Scotland.
Is it @pozbairdwho goes to the gym and has a bunch of middle aged women who gaggle and cackle like hyenas  after their water aerobics, yet scream at each other to mask up, when they wander a few steps away from their table? 😂

Edited by deegee
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14 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said:

Covid isn't a rhinovirus. There are lots of factors, some not yet understood, but it's silly to think that mitigations against covid have had no effect in minimising flu infections.

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03519-3

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43 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said:

I'm fully aware of the difference.

Try drinking on a Scotrail train - it's not the staff who police it but the other passengers!!

It's a bizarre one because you can drink on Transpennine Express, LNER etc throughout the journey in Scotland.

they're resolving it on those services by switching to a shitey trolley with bad booze options so forgetful dafties like me have nothing good to drink

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Walked down Dumbarton Road through Partick last night and there was no table service in the pubs I passed. You wouldn't have known they were under restrictions. Great to see and I hope everywhere else is the same. 

Totally over this now, hopefully Jason Leitch can f**k off back to his scale and polish job soon. 

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The DUP want to open things up a bit (or, at least not impose more restrictions protection) but the other parties are agin it.
Certification is the first real thing they've been against.

Up till this point they've pretty much gone with everything. Givan himself used the phrase "the storm is coming" when describing Covid and the other restrictions that the Executive were bringing in.
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2 minutes ago, deegee said:

It has definitely become more polarised and the mask- theatre is a classic example (and why it’s probably been used as a free- cost to government and highly visible method of compliance). We were out for a few drinks last night and there was zero table service, young folk hugging and dancing around etc but then you’d get the rare person pop on a filthy cloth rag to walk literally a few paces to the toilet. Great to see tbh and hopefully replicated throughout Scotland.
Is it @pozbairdwho goes to the gym and has a bunch of middle aged women who gaggle and cackle like hyenas  after their water aerobics, yet scream at each other to mask up, when they wander a few steps away from their table? 😂

One of the most ridiculous sights of the restrictions era has been people masking up to order at the bar, inches away from unmasked drinkers on bar stools.

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1 minute ago, DeeTillEhDeh said:

Certification is the first real thing they've been against.

Up till this point they've pretty much gone with everything. Givan himself used the phrase "the storm is coming" when describing Covid and the other restrictions that the Executive were bringing in.

Still waiting on Michelle O'Neill's 30,000 cases per day...

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