Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[Diamonds are Forever]

4 minutes ago, Granny Danger said:

They said that though the rate has been 1% that there is nothing to support this will be the percentage going forward.

 

I never heard that and can't find it. Even if true, even a death rate of half that is still a hefty death toll.

[D.A.F.C]

Just don't go back to making a right rip-roaring c**t of yourself again tomorrow, eh?

I've embarrassed myself enough thanks.

[D.A.F.C]

Watch Dr John Campbell and share the link.

Watched his video about vitamin d.
Worth thinking about, not expensive.

[welshbairn]

3 minutes ago, Diamonds are Forever said:

 

That's what I said, and the 2 guys when asked agreed that was realistic and that they thought it may be as high as 80%.

The hard thing to digest is that could be a good thing if the old and unwell are protected, loads of immunity when it returns.

[Melanius Mullarkey]

Any c**t deid yet?

[Theroadlesstravelled]

It won't be anywhere near 1%.

[Guest SJP79]

Just now, Melanius Mullarkey said:

Any c**t deid yet?

Grow up.

[welshbairn]

2 minutes ago, Melanius Mullarkey said:

Any c**t deid yet?

Hasn't even reached the Highlands yet, teuchter blood is immune.

[pandarilla]

Shocked Rangers game is going ahead tonight, also the weekend games shouldnt be on

I don't know.

I think the British government have so far done a decent job.

This is going to be a long term thing and locking down places won't work indefinitely. It's about getting the timing right, to cover the peak.

[D.A.F.C]

It won't be anywhere near 1%.

If its 80% and 1% that's 510,000 for uk.

I think, and hope the death rate is high because only bad cases are getting found and tested.

[Guest Moomintroll]

Just want to apologise for the crass comments earlier in this thread.
Basically I know if either of my parents gets this then its extremely likely that's it.
I read about the italian situation and went a bit hysterical that the uk wasnt stopping people going to work.
Obviously if people could afford to they wouldn't go, it's not their fault and having a go was out of order.
It was just utter nonsense from me and I was panicking and looking for someone to blame for everything.
I hope everyone on here gets through this and that their loved ones are all ok.
Dropped of some messages for them tonight and thought that could be the last time I see them.
Just wish there was some way of helping but it seems a bit like an inevitability that cases will increase.

We all lose it some point M876, don't worry about it. Will be forgotten about in a couple of weeks when the next of us makes an arse of himself.

[Melanius Mullarkey]

1 minute ago, pandarilla said:

I don't know.

I think the British government have so far done a decent job.

This is going to be a long term thing and locking down places won't work indefinitely. It's about getting the timing right, to cover the peak.

Dominic Cummings found 

[renton]

34 minutes ago, Diamonds are Forever said:

The numbers are pretty terrifying. The experts in the press conference understandably didn't want to give a headline number of how many will die, but some basic calculations gives you their number going by their own figures.

UK population 66 million. They agreed with Merkel's statement that 70% will get infected, and that their upper estimate was actually more like 80%. And they were very confident that the death rate is 1%.

So 46 million will be infected if we go with the more conservative 70% figure, 1% of that is 462,000 deaths.

That's not factoring people who may die from the knock-on effect of other healthcare services being affected. Plus the significant economic impacts. Then apply similar figures to other countries around the world.

In Hubei I believe the mortality rate was like 3%, but then again the infection rate was no where near 70%. They were looking at 80,000 cases out of, what? 60 odd million?

[Hedgecutter]

4 minutes ago, Melanius Mullarkey said:

Any c**t deid yet?

I was.

I got better.

[welshbairn]

3 minutes ago, renton said:

In Hubei I believe the mortality rate was like 3%, but then again the infection rate was no where near 70%. They were looking at 80,000 cases out of, what? 60 odd million?

The mortality rates are pretty well meaningless, it all depends on how many people are detected and tested. The figure in America is huge because they botched the testing, a couple of days ago 19% was mentioned. 

Edited March 12, 2020 by welshbairn

[Cosmic Joe]

Possibly the most positive thing about this whole health crisis is we might learn how to deal more effectively with the next health crisis.

"might"

[renton]

1 minute ago, welshbairn said:

The mortality rates are pretty well meaningless, it all depends on how many people are detected and tested. The figure in America is huge because they botched the testing, a couple of days ago 19% was mentioned. 

Dont disagree. 

[Diamonds are Forever]

4 minutes ago, welshbairn said:

The mortality rates are pretty well meaningless, it all depends on how many people are detected and tested. The figure in America is huge because they botched the testing, a couple of days ago 19% was mentioned. 

 

If taken as a simple proportion of deaths for every known case then definitely. However we currently have 10 deaths from 590 known cases, which is clearly not 1% so I'm presuming their estimation of death rates comes from analysing other factors as well.

[Guest SJP79]

14 minutes ago, pandarilla said:

I don't know.

I think the British government have so far done a decent job.

This is going to be a long term thing and locking down places won't work indefinitely. It's about getting the timing right, to cover the peak.

Watch.

[Granny Danger]

11 minutes ago, Angusfifer said:

Possibly the most positive thing about this whole health crisis is we might learn how to deal more effectively with the next health crisis.

"might"

Your optimism is heartening and inspiring.

 

 

Totally misplaced but heartening and inspiring nonetheless.