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Scottish Cup 2023/24


Marten

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Just now, superbigal said:

Best price for me on McBookie is Culter 5/6 v Deveronvale

Bo'ness 12/5 v Darvel worth a second look. 

I'd be wary of putting too much on Culter, a Dyce fan on FitbaNorth who seems to know the North Juniors thinks Vale will win easy, Culter aren't what they were last season.

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Last year, I used ScotScores club ranking feature throughout the early rounds to give a rough idea of the quality between sides. I nicked the idea from someone else (if you’re reading this, forgive me for forgetting your name but thank you for the idea nonetheless) and whilst it’s not a perfect model, it got the vast majority of predictions right. For the record, I added +50 to sides at home to give reflection for home advantage. Any gap 50 and below gives a draw result.

Cutler - 2712

Deveronvale - 2354

HOME WIN (+358)

 

Penicuik - 2553

Pollok - 2793

AWAY WIN (-240)

 

Banks O’Dee - 2710

Dalbeattie Star - 2376

HOME WIN (+334)

 

Bo’ness - 2762

Darvel - 2829

DARVEL (-67)

 

Brechin - 2819

Rothes - 2518

HOME WIN (+301)

 

Brora - 2781

Berwick - 2709

BRORA (+72)

 

Broxburn - 2726

Nairn - 2579

HOME WIN (+147)

 

Caley Braves - 2700

Fraserburgh - 2732

DRAW (-32)

 

Camelon - 2553

Civil Service - 2662

AWAY WIN (-109)

 

Clach - 2438

Inverurie - 2524

INVERURIE (-86)

 

Cowdenbeath - 2731

Linlithgow Rose - 2741

DRAW (-10)

 

Dalkeith - 2362

Clydebank - 2843

AWAY WIN (-481)

 

Dundonald - 2717

Kilwinning - 2623

HOME WIN (+94)

 

Dunipace - 2575

Cumnock - 2696

AWAY WIN (-121)

 

East Kilbride - 2936

Whitehill - 2467

HOME WIN (+469)

 

East Stirling - 2674

Huntly - 2582

HOME WIN (+92)

 

Edinburgh Uni - 2438

Dunbar - 2576

AWAY WIN (-138)

 

Formartine - 2748

Threave - 2494

HOME WIN (+254)

 

Gala - 2663

Strathspey - 2241

HOME WIN (+422)

 

Golspie - 2231

Forres - 2471

AWAY WIN (-240)

 

Keith - 2463

Luncarty - 2509

DRAW (-43)

 

Lossiemouth - 2422

Beith - 2856 

AWAY WIN (-434)

 

Musselburgh - 2763

Gretna - 2400

HOME WIN (+363)

 

St Andrews - 2624

Auchinleck - 2793

AWAY WIN (-169)

 

Tayport - 2469

Buckie - 2730

AWAY WIN (-261)

 

Tranent - 2822

Hutchinson Vale - 2653

HOME WIN (+169)

 

Turriff - 2546

Sauchie - 2666

AWAY WIN (-120)

 

Wick - 2395

Jeanfield Swifts - 2697

AWAY WIN (-302)

 

Broomhill - 2703

Cumbernauld Colts - 2709

DRAW (-6)

 

Stirling University - 2779

Albion Rovers - 2778

DRAW (+1)

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1 hour ago, welshbairn said:

I'd be wary of putting too much on Culter, a Dyce fan on FitbaNorth who seems to know the North Juniors thinks Vale will win easy, Culter aren't what they were last season.

Suprised.  Vale lost 20 odd goals in last 4 games.   Culter scored 25 in last 5.  Think i'll stick with home win. 

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1 hour ago, welshbairn said:

I'd be wary of putting too much on Culter, a Dyce fan on FitbaNorth who seems to know the North Juniors thinks Vale will win easy, Culter aren't what they were last season.

 

36 minutes ago, invergowrie arab said:

There's a bit of value in some of those aways.

Sauchie, Berwick, Vale, Dunbar and Rose will  be seeing my 50p.

 

20 minutes ago, superbigal said:

Suprised.  Vale lost 20 odd goals in last 4 games.   Culter scored 25 in last 5.  Think i'll stick with home win. 

Checked the post again on Fitbanorth and it's ambiguous, I've asked for clarification. Sorry if I misread it.. :ph34r:

Quote

Vale could take three or four without reply in this one

 

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9 hours ago, welshbairn said:

I'd be wary of putting too much on Culter, a Dyce fan on FitbaNorth who seems to know the North Juniors thinks Vale will win easy, Culter aren't what they were last season.

Made an arse of this, haven’t you. :lol:

Vale will almost certainly get telt. 

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Broxburn Vs Nairn was pretty even apart from the two soft goals gifted to Broxburn from set pieces. Wayne Mackintosh was shown a second yellow after some handbags at the end.

I quite like Broxburn. It feels like a million miles away from leafy West Edinburgh.

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