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The US Presidential election prediction thread


ICTChris

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Just now, Highland Capital said:

My mistake, it's actually 13,000 behind with 2% still to go - could still do it though.

That 2% left thing isn't reliable, it turns out. We don't really know how many are left. If Biden is winning them 2-to-1 there needs to be 40,000 left, and we just don't really know. I don't think the people running the count do either. 

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Has any other presidential campaign ever relied on trying to bully another individual by making up disparaging shitty nicknames (such as "sleepy joe") for their opponent before?

Edited by red23
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Most of the TV stations in Britain and America haven't yet called Arizona for Biden.  Fox did ages ago so if Biden wins one more state (apart from Alaska), he's won it.  How ironic would that be - Fox News would be announcing Trump's loss well before everyone else.

Edited by Highland Capital
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Just now, GordonS said:

That 2% left thing isn't reliable, it turns out. We don't really know how many are left. If Biden is winning them 2-to-1 there needs to be 40,000 left, and we just don't really know. I don't think the people running the count do either. 

Just remember though Georgia is a big armed forces state and they’ll likely be for Trump?

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2 hours ago, GNU_Linux said:

Alaska is interesting for 3rd parties doing well their vs the rest of the USA.

They had a pro-independence Governor at one point.  Weird that no-one has called it for Trump yet - he's miles ahead there and the Democrats never win it.

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8 minutes ago, GordonS said:

That 2% left thing isn't reliable, it turns out. We don't really know how many are left. If Biden is winning them 2-to-1 there needs to be 40,000 left, and we just don't really know. I don't think the people running the count do either. 

...there is apparently 40,000 votes left in Georgia luckily enough. 


Fun times ahead

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Just now, Highland Capital said:

They had a pro-independence Governor at one point.  Weird that no-one has called it for Trump yet - he's miles ahead there and the Democrats never win it.

I think they aren't opening any postal votes until next week, and there will be even more there than elsewhere as all senior citizens get one automatically (and presumably it is a bit cold for queueing in November). Trump will obviously win but they won't want to call it in case something mad happens with the postal vote.

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