welshbairn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, G51 said: He was at 4's at one point. I only got him at 5/6 before I went to bed. I bunged on 4/5 sometime late when I was pished, getting offered a decent cash in profit now. Bit tempted. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bohemian Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, GordonS said: According to Oddschecker the vast bulk of bets went on Trump. Lol. He was the value bet I think... if you are getting 2/1 on a very close 2 horse race, it's worth a punt -1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Netan Sansara Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, MixuFruit said: That would've been some nice cash, not as nice as Trump 2016 but there we go. I should make a mental note now about how skittish the betting market is for this next time and do some live bets like welshbairn says. Only really works in such a divisive election/close as this election though. Not complaining, managed to get a few bets on Biden. Looking like a few hundred quid in my pocket. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, MixuFruit said: what were the best Biden odds? 3:1? 4/1 on Betfair. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Bob Mahelp Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Commentators on CNN believe that Biden will win all uncalled states, toss up on Georgia. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G51 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, welshbairn said: I bunged on 4/5 sometime late when I was pished, getting offered a decent cash in profit now. Bit tempted. Think you're as well holding on now tbh. It's going to take something unprecedented to stop Biden taking this. That's assuming they'll pay out when 270 is hit of course. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, GiGi said: Be some quality betting slips on this thread before the end of the week, eh? Unless it goes all Northern Rock.. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, GordonS said: According to Oddschecker the vast bulk of bets went on Trump. Lol. Was quite taken aback at having to explain on here a few hours back why Arizona being called for Biden would mean it should be in the bag for the Dems as long as that held up OK. Guess it revolves around what info sources you are following. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) 4 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said: Was quite taken aback at having to explain on here a few hours back why Arizona being called for Biden would mean it should be in the bag for the Dems as long as that held up OK. Guess it revolves around what info sources you are following. Oddschecker data will be for the whole campaign. Betfair turnover was around £350m around midnight. Edited November 4, 2020 by ayrmad 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, G51 said: Think you're as well holding on now tbh. It's going to take something unprecedented to stop Biden taking this. That's assuming they'll pay out when 270 is hit of course. Yeah, think I'll hold on. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, ayrmad said: Oddschecker data will be for the whole campaign. How many people would have been betting on Trump before a few hours ago when the polls had Biden up to +10% on the popular vote? There weren't many people suggesting it would be close on here and I suspect that would have been the mentality of the average punter in the UK dabbling in this. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Savage Henry Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said: How many people would have been betting on Trump before a few hours ago when the polls had Biden up to +10% on the popular vote? There weren't many people suggesting it would be close on here and I suspect that would have been the mentality of the average punter in the UK dabbling in this. It could still end up being not very close in relative terms. Some analysts are suggesting Biden could take all the remaining toss ups. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paco Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Yeah, it’s over now I think. Just a matter of the margin. Biden virtually certainly to take Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan and that does the job. North Carolina will probably stay Trump. Pennsylvania and Georgia could still go either way but it shouldn’t really matter too much. If he takes both it ends up being a relatively comfortable Electoral College win but Jesus Christ he’s made us suffer. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D Angelo Barksdale Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Donny drifting like a barge now. Republicans out to 7/1 to win in Wisconsin and 9/2 in Michigan. He's done. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, MixuFruit said: That would've been some nice cash, not as nice as Trump 2016 but there we go. I should make a mental note now about how skittish the betting market is for this next time and do some live bets like welshbairn says. After being sure but bottling out in indyref I made some money on 2016 and Brexit. Guys who think they know everything because they don't hold any mainstream opinions are heavily invested in the idea that people who bet are very special geniuses, so the odds indicate what's going to happen. 3 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said: How many people would have been betting on Trump before a few hours ago when the polls had Biden up to +10% on the popular vote? There weren't many people suggesting it would be close on here and I suspect that would have been the mentality of the average punter in the UK dabbling in this. I'm not sure. Prices were rubbish for Trump until his goose was cooked about an hour ago. I think that's because so much money was going on him. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Paco said: Yeah, it’s over now I think. Just a matter of the margin. Biden virtually certainly to take Nevada, Wisconsin and Michigan and that does the job. North Carolina will probably stay Trump. Pennsylvania and Georgia could still go either way but it shouldn’t really matter too much. If he takes both it ends up being a relatively comfortable Electoral College win but Jesus Christ he’s made us suffer. Thing is, this is *exactly* what we were warned about in these states - that Trump would run up a lead before mail-in ballots were counted. Faced with reality I'm not ashamed to say I was bricking it though. At no point did I think Biden wasn't favourite, though it was looking dark for a while and it was getting marginal. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamamafegan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Jings 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said: How many people would have been betting on Trump before a few hours ago when the polls had Biden up to +10% on the popular vote? There weren't many people suggesting it would be close on here and I suspect that would have been the mentality of the average punter in the UK dabbling in this. Think that wee graph is number of bets rather than turnover anyway. He was probably a value punt at 2/1+, after the last time I certainly wouldn't have been punting on Biden at very short odds until some results were in. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G51 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 You know what the weirdest thing about this election is? Tucker Carlson actually provided the best analysis of why Trump is so popular. https://twitter.com/elliemaeohagan/status/1323958807526100992?s=20 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Jings Only about the sixth time that’s been posted on here... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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