eez-eh Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, DC92 said: Aberdeenshire is going to f**k this up isn't it? Even if all the Labour and Lib Dem voters last time went Tory they’d still have been second. I’d say it’s unlikely. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 7, 2021 Author Share Posted May 7, 2021 Aberdeenshire is going to f**k this up isn't it?No its not. SNP win comfortably 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 7, 2021 Author Share Posted May 7, 2021 Is there a timeline for expected results. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the snudge Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, GordonS said: 32 minutes ago, GiGi said: Baillie sounds like she's shiting herself. Increased turnout in a marginal seat is not good news for her. I disagree, her vote is middle class and increased turnout in this election might very well mean greater differential turnout this time All those folk who usually commute to Glasgow are working from home, and middle class people are always more likely to get postal votes. I think she'll win by a couple of thousand. I fucking hope not. I'll honestly cry at another few years of Baillie 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
craigkillie Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 14 minutes ago, DC92 said: With the caveat that I don't know how far through they are, and I don't know whether "pleased" translates to "winning easily" or just "keeping it close", it's pretty rare to get a declaration without already having a decent idea of what the result looks like. There are many more restrictions on the party representatives at the count this year so it might not be as easy for them to actually get a sense of how it's going. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Salt n Vinegar Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said: 27 minutes ago, DC92 said: Aberdeenshire is going to f**k this up isn't it? No its not. SNP win comfortably The SNP would get a majority if they hold their previous seats and take Edinburgh Central and Dumbartonshire. (Oh please, PLEASE!) I could see them winning these 2, but it is a tough act to lose none at all.... If you look at a map showing the outcome of the constituencies won last time you see there's damn few seats left to try to take. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC92 Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 11 minutes ago, eez-eh said: Even if all the Labour and Lib Dem voters last time went Tory they’d still have been second. I’d say it’s unlikely. 10 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said: 31 minutes ago, DC92 said: Aberdeenshire is going to f**k this up isn't it? No its not. SNP win comfortably It went from 60% SNP in 2015 to 50% Tory in 2019. The Holyrood boundaries are slightly more favourable for the SNP I think, but I wouldn't be massively surprised. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
craigkillie Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 1 hour ago, Mr Heliums said: My bet is that the SNP would then formalise a coalition with the Greens to make a pro-Indy coalition. Would the Greens want to go along with that? They'd have to be careful they don't suffer the same fate as the Lib Dems in the UK where they end up being part of a coalition which acts against the original goals of the party. The SNP don't have a particularly great record on the climate or tenants' rights or some of the other issues that the Greens have won a lot of support for over the last decade or so. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, craigkillie said: Would the Greens want to go along with that? They'd have to be careful they don't suffer the same fate as the Lib Dems in the UK where they end up being part of a coalition which acts against the original goals of the party. The SNP don't have a particularly great record on the climate or tenants' rights or some of the other issues that the Greens have won a lot of support for over the last decade or so. Apparently some discussions on it prior to the election. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 7, 2021 Author Share Posted May 7, 2021 Clydebank & Milngavie declaring just afternoon noon. Also re. Dumbarton, Bailie in big trouble...tactical voting may save her. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tattie36 Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, DC92 said: It went from 60% SNP in 2015 to 50% Tory in 2019. The Holyrood boundaries are slightly more favourable for the SNP I think, but I wouldn't be massively surprised. “The Shire” is rammed with farmers, entitled oil industry arseholes and weirdos who genuinely believe Sturgeon hates Aberdeen and the north east. I wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if the Tories won it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Heliums Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 1 minute ago, craigkillie said: Would the Greens want to go along with that? They'd have to be careful they don't suffer the same fate as the Lib Dems in the UK where they end up being part of a coalition which acts against the original goals of the party. The SNP don't have a particularly great record on the climate or tenants' rights or some of the other issues that the Greens have won a lot of support for over the last decade or so. Successful coalitions are common around Europe, so I don't see why the Lib Dems' disaster should have much bearing. I'd imagine the milestone of a government post would be tempting and the manifesto differences might be manageable. But like I said, just my hunch. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
invergowrie arab Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 38 minutes ago, GordonS said: 43 minutes ago, DC92 said: Aberdeenshire is going to f**k this up isn't it? Journalists know nothing about election counts. If they did, and they schmoozed the right people, they'd be telling us the results of most seats in about an hour. Our team usually have the result to around 5% by 10:15 on polling day once turnouts are in. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stellaboz Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 1 minute ago, invergowrie arab said: Our team usually have the result to around 5% by 10:15 on polling day once turnouts are in. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikingTON Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 'Info leaked from counts' = 'Ah work fur the council and know when the next lockdoon is gonny happen' in credibility stakes. The best approach is to autofile all of it in the bin where it belongs. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 Banffshire & Buchan Coast to be declared in the next couple of hours, I’m hearing it’ll be an SNP hold but with the Tories substantially eating into the 6000 majority. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 7, 2021 Author Share Posted May 7, 2021 Banffshire & Buchan Coast to be declared in the next couple of hours, I’m hearing it’ll be an SNP hold but with the Tories substantially eating into the 6000 majority. Tactical voting squire 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 Our team usually have the result to around 5% by 10:15 on polling day once turnouts are in. Yep, that's what I've seen at counts in Lanarkshire and West Lothian. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dink Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 Would the Greens want to go along with that? They'd have to be careful they don't suffer the same fate as the Lib Dems in the UK where they end up being part of a coalition which acts against the original goals of the party. The SNP don't have a particularly great record on the climate or tenants' rights or some of the other issues that the Greens have won a lot of support for over the last decade or so.I was in a meeting with Scottish Government this morning where I jokingly said that I'd only bothered to look at one manifesto to see what we might have to implement after the election. There was pretty much a unanimous reaction that things might change in line with another manifesto. So I'm guessing that discussions have taken place and it's pretty much an open secret in parts of SG. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve_Wilkos Posted May 7, 2021 Share Posted May 7, 2021 Hi all, I'm mates with Big Sturgeon and she has told me the results: SNP: 43% Con: 42% Lib: 7% Green: 6% Lab: 1% Com: 0.9% Make of that what you will. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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