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The Official Liz Truss no longer PM but still a Clusterfuck thread


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15 minutes ago, strichener said:

The average UK mortgage for a 5 year fix increased by 1.06% in the quarter before she became PM.  In the quarter after it increased by 1.09%. https://www.statista.com/statistics/386301/uk-average-mortgage-interest-rates/

The overnight 2% increase was actually over 6 months.

The issue also affected a small number of people since it only affected those coming out of a fix that wanted another fix.  People that were in the middle of their fix or on a variable rate saw no substantial increase as a result.

 

Most people on mortgages go from fixed to fixed.  Hardly a small number.  Of course people on fixed rates saw “no substantial increase” - that’s the point of fixed rates.  .  The increase of 1.09% wasn’t inevitable.  She absolutely did f**k over millions of mortgage holders.   

Edited by Savage Henry
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2 minutes ago, Savage Henry said:

Most people on mortgages go from fixed to fixed.  Of corse people on fixed rates saw “no substantial increase” - that’s the point of fixed rates.   That’s hardly a small number.  The increase of 1.09% wasn’t inevitable.  She absolutely did f**k over millions of mortgage holders.   

Millions?  I would like to see the evidence for this.

Why did the BoE only raise interest rate by 50 basis points when the US and USA raised then by 75?  It was sue to their abysmal forecasting and that doesn't sit at Truss' door.

Edited by strichener
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11 minutes ago, strichener said:

An alternative viewpoint on the Liz Truss caused the bond market rout.

https://capx.co/did-liz-truss-really-cause-the-bond-market-rout/

Interestingly the issue was identified 5 years previously with the BoE warned directly.

Once again the issue is leverage.  Where have we heard that before.

Interesting article.

The author's hypothesis that the budget wasn't to blame seems predicated on an assumption that bond markets had no information about what was coming until it was announced in public. That's not a tenable assumption at all and there's a well established understanding that financial markets operate on expectations. The government's philosophy wasn't a secret and it would be highly unusual for secrets to be kept by the sort of people involved. 

The fact that there was a further, smaller, adjustment after the formal announcement suggests that the markets hadn't fully priced in the utter idiocy. 

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Seems like Liz Truss and me have two things in common.

IMG_2086.thumb.jpeg.3fc65a3e0f53208d88a35f08b5eab046.jpeg
 

1. Neither of us want to be Prime Minister.

2. Neither of us want Liz Truss to be Prime Minister.

 

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20 hours ago, Granny Danger said:

Seems like Liz Truss and me have two things in common.

IMG_2086.thumb.jpeg.3fc65a3e0f53208d88a35f08b5eab046.jpeg
 

1. Neither of us want to be Prime Minister.

2. Neither of us want Liz Truss to be Prime Minister.

 

Do you also refuse to apologise for the mortgage rate crisis?

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3 hours ago, Zetterlund said:

Do you also refuse to apologise for the mortgage rate crisis?

No.  I accept that it was my fault and apologise profusely.

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On 19/04/2024 at 16:01, JS_FFC said:

The most mental thing of all is that a not insignificant percentage of Tory MPs think this grifting charlatan’s biggest mistake is resigning rather than seeing it through and that her policies would have worked if given the time.

When Labour inevitably win the general election the next Tory leader election will be between an “all taxation is theft” type Truss-adjacent candidate, and a “Leave the ECHR, hang the paedos, sink the boats” type Braverman-adjacent candidate. And I reckon the Truss supporter will win. 

Alternatively, there'll be a unity candidate who promises to leave the ECHR, bring back capital punishment for paedos and illegals, and dismantle the welfare state to reduce tax. They'll know that they probably won't manage it all, but the amount of votes they'll get will be terrifying, especially from groups that would be negatively affected.

Maybe it'll be Nigel Farage, although he'll have to win an election where more than 20% of the electorate turn up first.

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9 hours ago, BFTD said:

Alternatively, there'll be a unity candidate who promises to leave the ECHR, bring back capital punishment for paedos and illegals, and dismantle the welfare state to reduce tax. They'll know that they probably won't manage it all, but the amount of votes they'll get will be terrifying, especially from groups that would be negatively affected.

Maybe it'll be Nigel Farage, although he'll have to win an election where more than 20% of the electorate turn up first.

Capital Punishment for Loitering would probably achieve all these things in one go.

The ECHR would throw us out.  Paedos, Illegals, the workshy, anyone claiming welfare, anyone using the NHS instead of being at work.

Sounds like a winner to me.  😀

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