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10 hours ago, Hedgecutter said:

I got a 10 in a row from just 30 flips (streak started from #20-#30).  I changed the height/power of the flip each time.  At one point it ended up in the bin (evidently a 1/146 chance).

Serious business this.

If this is you wanting to become a professional referee then I would suggest you have over practiced the start of the game and you need to do more work on everything else.

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I read a story about a statistics professor who on the first class of each year would tell his students to toss a coin 200 times and write H or T on a piece of paper for the results.

The next lesson he would flick through the homework and usually call out about a fifth of the names. He then told them that they didn't actually do the homework and instead just wrote a list of 200 Hs and Ts.

Statistically, if you toss a coin 200 times there's a 98% (or something similarly high) chance of tossing seven heads or seven tails in a row. When we try to write a random binary list we rarely have more than four of one kind in a row.

(I think I read this in Nate Silver's book The Signal and the Noise, which is quite good if you want an easy and relatable introduction to practical applications of statistical predictions.)

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Why is it that Gail McGrane's sole annual Reporting Scotland appearance is always the 14th February?

It's as if the entirety of the fittest news team in the history of national TV has been whisked away for a long weekend of... well, you know.

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8 hours ago, DiegoDiego said:

I read a story about a statistics professor who on the first class of each year would tell his students to toss a coin 200 times and write H or T on a piece of paper for the results.

The next lesson he would flick through the homework and usually call out about a fifth of the names. He then told them that they didn't actually do the homework and instead just wrote a list of 200 Hs and Ts.

Statistically, if you toss a coin 200 times there's a 98% (or something similarly high) chance of tossing seven heads or seven tails in a row. When we try to write a random binary list we rarely have more than four of one kind in a row.

(I think I read this in Nate Silver's book The Signal and the Noise, which is quite good if you want an easy and relatable introduction to practical applications of statistical predictions.)

I'm sure many of you have encountered the Monty Hall Problem. Lies, damned lies and statistics.

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16 hours ago, BillyAnchor said:

Why do football fans no longer sing, "Spot the loony?"

Best rendition of that I ever heard was when I was on my way to Anfield for the Wales-Scotland World Cup qualifier in 1977. The train stopped at Carstairs Junction,  somebody started singing that and the whole train joined in!

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