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Coronavirus (COVID-19)


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2 hours ago, Billy Jean King said:

Captain, Major, Sir Tom Moore on a jolly in the Caribbean I see, free business class BA flights for the full family too. Top top work by the pushy daughter that !!!!!

I heard his daughter made him run/swim all the way there though.

Edited by Les Cabbage
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On the subject of mask compliance, I was in Glasgow for work the other day and the amount of people in shops wearing them under the chin or having their nose exposed  😑 also there was quite a few not wearing any at all. A few half dead looking junkies were amongst the ones without. From day 1 I've found it strange that people like asthmatics, those smoking 40 a day and already coughing their lungs up were “excempt” as you’d think they’d be in the higher risk category for catching and dying of the bloody thing 

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Every shop and business surely reserves the legal right to refuse service? Certainly a sign you often see displayed in shops. Surely it's just a case of mandating a mask to enter, rather than grilling individuals about the reason for not wearing one.

The only reason I can think of why supermarkets wont do this is because they dont give a f**k about anything except profit and would prefer to avoid a social media shitshow from the moonhowlers by refusing folk entry.

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Would imagine hundreds of cases a day is attributable to two builders in a roll shop in Auchterurie having their noses uncovered or "half dead junkies" rather than thousands upon thousands being crammed 30 at a time into the same room for 6 hours every day the length of the country.

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1 minute ago, Marshmallo said:

Would imagine hundreds of cases a day is attributable to two builders in a roll shop in Auchterurie having their noses uncovered or "half dead junkies" rather than thousands upon thousands being crammed 30 at a time into the same room for 6 hours every day the length of the country.

I certainly wasn’t blaming those people for the vast spread of it, just mentioning about the compliance of masks. Everyone knows it’s the hairdressers, gyms and nail bars that’s spreading it anyway. Nothing at all to do with hundreds/thousands of under 18’s being in the one building 5 days a week 

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Referrals for child abuse have risen 80% since covid measures were put in place, I heard on the radio this morning.

 

That might add some further context to the cost/benefit analysis being applied to the school situation.

 

The sad reality of life in the United Kingdom.

 

 

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2 hours ago, renton said:

Whatever the schools are contributing its unlikely that they have suddenly become more infectious, so look for what has changed recently. 

choofed.gif.36238632e894d58261d9a93423e6436f.gif

How infections do you think are schools in terms of seasonal flu in August, December and June respectively? They amplify existing community transmission, which is why the same environment suddenly churns out an epidemic of disease at this time every single fucking year.

 

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10 minutes ago, Ron Aldo said:

I could be mistaken but didn't those who were medically exempt from wearing masks get some sort of lanyard or something to say so?

I could have completely made this up right enough.

You can request them online via government website where it asks you no questions so anyone can get one.  You can even buy an exemption lanyard from Amazon for 2 quid.

There does seem to be a bit of a give up the ghost thing going on, especially amongst the young.

Saying that was just in my local shop where some middle aged w****r was purchasing fags, a scratchcard and a copy of the Sun without his mask whilst being served by the owner who had a mask down by his chin.  Great times and he ticked so many boxes on maskless bingo.

Edited by Tynierose
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Quote

Again, the basic principles here aren’t new, Benjamin said. The same thing basically happens with the flu every year, he told me. Kids get exposed at school and spend the time between Thanksgiving and New Year’s passing it around from one family gathering to another. As the holidays end, flu season starts to peak.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-even-a-small-thanksgiving-is-dangerous/

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Is it really any different to shops asking someone for ID? You need a mask to enter the shop or a wee NHS card that exempts you, you either wear a mask or produce the card or the shopkeeper simply asks you to leave, much like they would if you didn't have proof of age. I'm not sure I agree with the notion that shopkeepers are scared to take on customers blatantly ignoring rules, probably more likely that those who aren't taking on customers don't care about the rules.  

 

We wouldn't have this issue if we made them compulsory. 

 

 

I am asthmatic but have zero tolerance of the "ave got asthma" crowd.

 

Currently I have a mask on at work and at home - because my wife is having to self-isolate before her operation on Christmas Eve.

 

If you can't wear a mask for a short trip to the shops then you shouldn't be out at all.

 

 

 

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11 minutes ago, virginton said:

choofed.gif.36238632e894d58261d9a93423e6436f.gif

How infections do you think are schools in terms of seasonal flu in August, December and June respectively? They amplify existing community transmission, which is why the same environment suddenly churns out an epidemic of disease at this time every single fucking year.

 

It doesn't look like there has been a spike in younger age groups in terms of symptomatic positives. Looks like increasing infections are being driven by older age groups. 

Of course, allowing for increased asymptomatic spread in children, but are we saying that asymptomatic spead has increased but symptomatic spread in kids hasn't? 

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1 hour ago, mizfit said:

 


It’s basically an alcoholic energy drink. Can feel your teeth dissolving as you drink it.

 

I mind a description of alcohol and energy drinks on your heart - its kind of like having the handbrake fully engaged but the car in first gear, clutch down and accelerator depressed at the same time. Kinda put me off shite like vodka and red bull + dragon soop and all tbh

Edited by Thistle_do_nicely
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Just now, renton said:

It doesn't look like there has been a spike in younger age groups in terms of symptomatic positives. Looks like increasing infections are being driven by older age groups. 

Quote

The same thing basically happens with the flu every year, he told me. Kids get exposed at school and spend the time between Thanksgiving and New Year’s passing it around from one family gathering to another.

Think I'm just going to rinse and repeat this for every single time that you try to misrepresent data to prove that the infection factories are not actually the problem here. 

A daily reminder that SAGE itself calculates that having schools at full capacity adds fully 0.4 to the R rate, so if the government wants to take a single effective measure to curb a public health crisis then it already knows exactly what it must do. 

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41 minutes ago, virginton said:

Think I'm just going to rinse and repeat this for every single time that you try to misrepresent data to prove that the infection factories are not actually the problem here. 

A daily reminder that SAGE itself calculates that having schools at full capacity adds fully 0.4 to the R rate, so if the government wants to take a single effective measure to curb a public health crisis then it already knows exactly what it must do. 

Well, I'm certainly not trying to misrepresent data here.  The fact is we don't seem to have the same spike in symptomatic cases in younger age groups that are seen down south. I guess we don't have data on how, proportionally, asymptomatic cases scale to symptomatic ones across age groups. 

The point about seasonality is well taken, but of course will apply across age groups and other activities as well. It's interesting that the highest case loads in the last 7 days were recorded over the weekend rather than weekdays as is usually the case. Given that, the proximity to Christmas, and increasing retail activity, its a reasonable proposition that retail is driving some percentage of growth in cases.

As for schools, as far back as September I was in favour of putting the older secondary school kids into blended learning, as I felt it would be a good balance of derisking covid infections in those most likely to transmit at the same rate as adults, vs. Disruption to the school system. The R value you quote, how wide are the confidence intervals on that number? It should be noted that Scotland has managed to so far avoid the spike seen in other parts of the UK, and were able to drive down infections base loads by 50% without shutting the schools. 

The question becomes, to what degree of economic dislocation is worth it to not precipitate a crisis in education, and to what degree would blended learning help? Is it a linear progression in risk? Does having kids in 1 or 2 days a week reduce the risk proportionally with respect to 5 days? Do you have data on that? If it requires shutting the schools to get rid of their influence on infections entirely, then what? Shut them for the time required to get down to hee haw cases. Then we open up again and it goes up again, right?

Edited by renton
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58 minutes ago, Ron Aldo said:

I could be mistaken but didn't those who were medically exempt from wearing masks get some sort of lanyard or something to say so?

I could have completely made this up right enough.

My wife is exempt. It's not that they're given a lanyard, they can choose to wear them. A lot of larger shops give them out.

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