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The US Presidential election prediction thread


ICTChris

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Thing is, this is *exactly* what we were warned about in these states - that Trump would run up a lead before mail-in ballots were counted. Faced with reality I'm not ashamed to say I was bricking it though. At no point did I think Biden wasn't favourite, though it was looking dark for a while and it was getting marginal.


Indeed. Florida, Ohio and Iowa declaring early as Trump wins was a shocker, polls had them all as narrow Biden so for Trump to get all three suggested something might be happening. Again.

Even if one of those was tight, it’d have given hope, but they’re all relatively comfortable.

Still. All’s well that ends well. Unless Trumpy goes wild. We should avoid a Florida 2000 style scenario though which PA seemed to be getting set up for while Trump led Michigan/Wisconsin.
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Just now, MixuFruit said:

 

Dunno about CNN but I think BBC are using Reuters data, which is still saying 224.

I'm watching CNN here and its 224... just switched over to Fox and they have it 238... the difference in tone between the stations is funny...

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3 minutes ago, ICTChris said:

I started the Covid thread, world thrown into chaos.

I started this thread, USA thrown into chaos.

What should I destroy next?

Global Energy Group.

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3 minutes ago, ICTChris said:

I started the Covid thread, world thrown into chaos.

I started this thread, USA thrown into chaos.

What should I destroy next?

Capitalism and pineapple on pizzas.

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19 minutes ago, G51 said:

You know what the weirdest thing about this election is?

Tucker Carlson actually provided the best analysis of why Trump is so popular.

https://twitter.com/elliemaeohagan/status/1323958807526100992?s=20

Seems to hit the nail on the head as to why he has such a following and it's hard to argue against.

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