Hampden Diehard Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 That win for Ayr at Greenock was either the second best or second worst result for QP. Maybe the second best, but will it re-energise Ayr?? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcjameos Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 42 minutes ago, Hampden Diehard said: That win for Ayr at Greenock was either the second best or second worst result for QP. Maybe the second best 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUcal Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Hampden Diehard said: That win for Ayr at Greenock was either the second best or second worst result for QP. Maybe the second best, but will it re-energise Ayr?? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
an86 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Reckon I could regret celebrating that Thistle win at Dundee. I can see them coming through the pack. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trogdor Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qpfc Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 (edited) Next three game are critical for us. We blew a fantastic opportunity against Morton but it’s what we do against cove, Inverness and Arbroath at home this month that was always going to determine our title credentials. Quite relieved to see Morton lose last night, a win for them would of been huge in terms of building momentum for the title. If we end up in the playoffs, Morton are the team I’d want to play the least tbh. It’s how thistle fans probably view us taking 9/9 off them this season. We’ll see how thistle get on over the next 3 games before I start getting really worried about them. Morton away, Dundee home and Inverness away this month are incredibly tough fixtures so from a qp perspective, you’d hope there’s points dropped in those encounters. Dundee still the main ones to worry about currently Edited March 8, 2023 by qpfc 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fuctifano Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Ran 1000 sims of the season from here on in and 65 was the key winning points total (it was the mean, median and mode of the 1st place team's final points total if you want the boring stats terms) and 64 the points total at which you're more likely to win the league than not, so I wouldn't count any team out until they can't get to 64. Agree about our upcoming fixtures, I'm still not all in on us as title winners unless we win the next two. If we lose to Morton on Saturday , by my own logic above we're not out of it but the margin for error would be tiny. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sting777 Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 (edited) 37 minutes ago, qpfc said: We’ll see how thistle get on over the next 3 games before I start getting really worried about them. Morton away, Dundee home and Inverness away this month are incredibly tough fixtures so from a qp perspective, you’d hope there’s points dropped in those encounters. Dundee still the main ones to worry about currently Fully agree. The next three games will tell us where we are likely to end up. After the back to back home defeats to Hamilton and Cove I thought we were out of even a play off place. Take 7/9 in next three games (very tough task) and we are in there punching but there isn’t much room for error! Edited March 8, 2023 by Sting777 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ghost of B A R P Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 We never quite managed to get ourselves in the race, but we are now, officially, out of it altogether. It would take 7 wins and a draw from 9 games to get to 63 points. Not happening. Need to recover and make sure the play-offs don't slip away, so there's potential for us to damage others in the process... but then there's probably potential for damage in every game every team plays. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thistledo Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 (edited) 49 minutes ago, Fuctifano said: Ran 1000 sims of the season from here on in and 65 was the key winning points total (it was the mean, median and mode of the 1st place team's final points total if you want the boring stats terms) and 64 the points total at which you're more likely to win the league than not, so I wouldn't count any team out until they can't get to 64. Agree about our upcoming fixtures, I'm still not all in on us as title winners unless we win the next two. If we lose to Morton on Saturday , by my own logic above we're not out of it but the margin for error would be tiny. Needing realistically 20 points plus beating Queens Park at home in April to be in with a shout, need to replicate the run in 2013 again basically. The Accies and Cove games really fucked us, although we might not have been in this situation had McCall stayed. Irony. This season definitely got a lot more interesting in the last few games, I certainly wasn't expecting us to still be in with a shout at winning it. I think the pressure is all on QP right now though and I'd still be happy with play-offs, but maybe... just maybe. Edited March 8, 2023 by thistledo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pie Of The Month Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 When it's written out like Fuctifano has above the 10 or 12/1 on us winning the league doesn't seem as generous as some made out. There's not much chance of any team winning 7 of the last 9 like we'd probably need so we'd really be relying on Queen's Park and Dundee collapsing. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Fuctifano said: Ran 1000 sims of the season from here on in and 65 was the key winning points total (it was the mean, median and mode of the 1st place team's final points total if you want the boring stats terms) and 64 the points total at which you're more likely to win the league than not, so I wouldn't count any team out until they can't get to 64. Agree about our upcoming fixtures, I'm still not all in on us as title winners unless we win the next two. If we lose to Morton on Saturday , by my own logic above we're not out of it but the margin for error would be tiny. Very inline with historical totals. The lowest winning total since 2000 was 65 (corrected for games played). Gun to the head, I’d pick Queens to win, Partick to nip Dundee for second and Morton in fourth…but it’s still completely wide open, and that Patrick v Morton match is critical for both, especially as Morton is at home. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnydun Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 23 minutes ago, TxRover said: Very inline with historical totals. The lowest winning total since 2000 was 65 (corrected for games played). Gun to the head, I’d pick Queens to win, Partick to nip Dundee for second and Morton in fourth…but it’s still completely wide open, and that Patrick v Morton match is critical for both, especially as Morton is at home. The trigger has been pulled. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 11 minutes ago, johnnydun said: The trigger has been pulled. Your opinion on the finishing order is desired, sir. Come on, and be honest, not a fan. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnydun Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, TxRover said: Your opinion on the finishing order is desired, sir. Come on, and be honest, not a fan. Dundee Queens Park Patrick Thistle Ayr United Patrick Thistle promoted via the Play offs after pumping Kilmarnock. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 18 minutes ago, johnnydun said: Dundee Queens Park Patrick Thistle Ayr United Patrick Thistle promoted via the Play offs after pumping Kilmarnock. Fair enough, but your Dundee onesie is showing, oh Lord. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thistledo Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 17 minutes ago, johnnydun said: Dundee Queens Park Patrick Thistle Ayr United Patrick Thistle promoted via the Play offs after pumping Kilmarnock Dundee Utd. FTFY and then we have a deal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnydun Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 17 minutes ago, thistledo said: FTFY and then we have a deal. I'm for that, either way The DAB's go down. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnydun Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 18 minutes ago, TxRover said: Fair enough, but your Dundee onesie is showing, oh Lord. Not at all, I am fairly confident we will still win this league. All we really have to do is match/better Queens Parks results and beat them on the final day. I have no fear any other team will put in enough of a challenge. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamamafegan Posted March 8, 2023 Share Posted March 8, 2023 Queens Park beating Dundee to win the league on the final day of the season in front of a jubilant Hampden home crowd would be delicious. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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