coprolite Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 48 minutes ago, Hedgecutter said: Got to the true known 50:50 after n=2 and n=146 Could have just stopped at 2, huh. Eta: Should point out that some of my work deals with ratios / stats which still remains a bit of a dark art to me, so in a way this was justifiable work. I'm told I have to work to n=200, but that "150 is usually fine if you can't get 200" (supported by this P&B experiment). I usually find that counting away until I get 100 of one kind consistently comes away with a steady answer if the things occur in the same proportion. Magnificent. I particularly enjoyed the justification of doing this on the clock. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hedgecutter Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 (edited) 2 hours ago, GordonD said: Ten heads in a row is actually only one in 1,024 (two to the tenth power) - not as slim as I thought but I still wouldn't bet on it. At least one head in ten tosses must be 1,023 to one on. Though for any individual coin, it's still 50/50. I got a 10 in a row from just 30 flips (streak started from #20-#30). I changed the height/power of the flip each time. At one point it ended up in the bin (evidently a 1/146 chance). Serious business this. Edited February 13, 2020 by Hedgecutter 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robin.Hood Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Outside wall is wet ( dark colour) because of my gutter being fucked. Gutter will get fixed in due course but does the wall of house need any sort of treatment? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coprolite Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, G_Man1985 said: Outside wall is wet ( dark colour) because of my gutter being fucked. Gutter will get fixed in due course but does the wall of house need any sort of treatment? Heating on... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hedgecutter Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 ... windows open. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pandarilla Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Random question.If i wanted a flight out of Glasgow or Edinburgh on Saturday, returning on Monday - to pretty much any destination - what website would be the best to get a good deal?We don't care about where we're going, but it needs to be a flight on Saturday returning on Monday, at a reasonable time.My initial Google search hasn't been fruitfil, but maybe there's no good deals to be had like this. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aubrey Maturin Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 minute ago, pandarilla said: Random question. If i wanted a flight out of Glasgow or Edinburgh on Saturday, returning on Monday - to pretty much any destination - what website would be the best to get a good deal? We don't care about where we're going, but it needs to be a flight on Saturday returning on Monday, at a reasonable time. My initial Google search hasn't been fruitfil, but maybe there's no good deals to be had like this. Skyscanner is usually decent. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AsimButtHitsASix Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 (edited) 2 minutes ago, pandarilla said: Random question. If i wanted a flight out of Glasgow or Edinburgh on Saturday, returning on Monday - to pretty much any destination - what website would be the best to get a good deal? We don't care about where we're going, but it needs to be a flight on Saturday returning on Monday, at a reasonable time. My initial Google search hasn't been fruitfil, but maybe there's no good deals to be had like this. Skyscanner lets you pick your departure airport and dates but with destination as "everywhere" and lists them by price afterward. Edited February 13, 2020 by AsimButtHitsASix 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robin.Hood Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Heating on... ... windows open.Cheers for help :-( 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigmouth Strikes Again Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 hour ago, G_Man1985 said: Cheers for help Did it work? Thank you. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
101 Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 1 hour ago, pandarilla said: Random question. If i wanted a flight out of Glasgow or Edinburgh on Saturday, returning on Monday - to pretty much any destination - what website would be the best to get a good deal? We don't care about where we're going, but it needs to be a flight on Saturday returning on Monday, at a reasonable time. My initial Google search hasn't been fruitfil, but maybe there's no good deals to be had like this. Skyscanner as other have said but when choosing the departure airport click the (nearby airport) button and that will show you Edinburgh and Glasgow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stellaboz Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Question? Pie and BovrilFlights? MomondoHotel? trivago 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Trivago's shite. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pandarilla Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Cheers lads. Nearly booked belfast or Dublin but the weather ruled it out.Might head through to the ayr game instead. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sergeant Wilson Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, pandarilla said: Cheers lads. Nearly booked belfast or Dublin but the weather ruled it out. Might head through to the ayr game instead. You know how to live! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bert Raccoon Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 5 hours ago, Hedgecutter said: Got to the true known 50:50 after n=2 and n=146 Could have just stopped at 2, huh. Eta: Should point out that some of my work deals with ratios / stats which still remains a bit of a dark art to me, so in a way this was justifiable work. I'm told I have to work to n=200, but that "150 is usually fine if you can't get 200" (supported by this P&B experiment). I usually find that counting away until I get 100 of one kind consistently comes away with a steady answer if the things occur in the same proportion. I find you quite disturbing. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sergeant Wilson Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, Bert Raccoon said: I find you quite disturbing. He knows where you live. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Melanius Mullarkey Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 30 minutes ago, welshbairn said: Trivago's shite. I blame the staff (apart from the advert wifie obviously). 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robin.Hood Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 Did it work? Thank you.A fail. However I shall not be defeated. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hedgecutter Posted February 13, 2020 Share Posted February 13, 2020 (edited) 51 minutes ago, Bert Raccoon said: I find you quite disturbing. I did a 2nd experiment just for you. Unfortunately, unlike the last one, this one shows that you actually need more than two flips to provide an accurate ratio. A truly crushing blow tbh. Interestingly, this one hit the true 50/50 value after 'just' 82 flips, but then proceeded to get worse (albeit a steady ~5% out from the true value). I stopped counting after tails hit 100 (at which point there had been 81 heads). Note the ^ trend after 40 or so flips where there was a run of tails followed by a run of heads just as it looked like it was actually getting towards 50%. Take away lesson here: more isn't necessarily better, and stats gives you a sore thumb. Edited February 13, 2020 by Hedgecutter 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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