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5 minutes ago, oaksoft said:

But crucially, with the possible exception of Moray, they are NOT reconsidering.

The slow pace is driving us all up the wall but you need to relax a bit here before you do yourself a mischief.

I'm calm enough about the timetable as I've no reason not to be at this stage, just the reporting that I find frustrating. 

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15 minutes ago, Michael W said:

So, in the week or so leading up to the next relaxation:

1) "Highland variant" announced 

2) Indian variant designates as a variant of concern by PHE

3) Concern being raised over case numbers in certain regions with zero context of how this feeds into a wider impact - hospitalisations etc. 

Meanwhile cases rates are stable and hospitalisations continue to reduce. I get that there are things that need to be publicised but the focus on case numbers only continues to be depressing given the vaccine rollout. 

Every single relaxation is also preceded by an outpouring of negativity and doom, and that the government should reconsider. 

Scotland also had it's lowest weekly death numbers from covid for 8 months.

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19 minutes ago, effeffsee_the2nd said:

Good news is always followed by days of doom, i think it's just a ploy to stop folk getting carried away 

That's exactly what is is.

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1 hour ago, Billy Jean King said:

Sky right now reporting on case rises across 28 authorities in the NW of England. Some have test positivity back above 5% and report saying that local measures may need to be reimposed if the trends continue.

What did they honestly expect as measures relax and when does cases / positivity stop being the trigger metric ?

Yeah, they were reporting that some areas were above the national average this morning.

Err... some areas 'above the national average'. What do they think 'average' means? Utter junk journalists.

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Just look at the Taff case rates, and then look at the greater percentage of people they have got a first dose of vaccine to. Indeed, to younger cohorts that are more likely to transmit, which tells you everything you need to know. We should be doing the exact same thing they are by firing through doses in storage, to nip this Moray/Glasgow nonsense in the bud.

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  • 345 new cases of COVID-19 reported
  • 26,076 new tests for COVID-19 that reported results
    • 1.5% of these were positive
  • 0 new reported death(s) of people who have tested positive
  • 6 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19
  • 65 people were in hospital yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19
  • 2,948,604 people have received the first dose of the Covid vaccination and 1,526,889 have received their second dose

 

THIRD WAVE INCOMING11!!

Wonder if some of those are yestardays filtering through, hospitals and deaths still looking alright anyway so there should be absolutely no reason to shit the bed ... 

Edited by effeffsee_the2nd
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345 new cases of COVID-19 reported

26,076 new tests for COVID-19 that reported results

1.5% of these were positive

0 new reported death(s) of people who have tested positive

6 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 (unchanged)

65 people were in hospital yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19 (down from 70)

2,948,604 people have received the first dose of the Covid vaccination and 1,526,889 have received their second dose

With regard to the Moray numbers it's possibly worth noting that NHS Grampian numbers had gone from less than 5 to 17 this time last week but are already back down to 10. 

Edited by Distant Doonhamer
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I think it would be good to see those hospital numbers stay level or fall in the next few weeks.  Any small increases in cases might take a little while to potentially feed through to hospital figures.  All the evidence to date suggests it shouldn’t feed through but it would be comforting to see the figures a few weeks down the line.

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Daily Cases Update:  Very poor day with cases up 7.41% and infectivity climbs again to 1.2%.

Scotland is up over 18% in the last 7 days.  17% of that rise is down to 1 council. I am astounded the press is not in full panic mode.

Glasgow now with a 116% rise in 7 days. It also has 2.7% positivity.   

Midlothian is another mystery which as yet has gone unreported. It had Zero cases 12 days ago. Now has Scotland's most dangerous neighbourhood with Pentland at 610 per 100K.

Scotland peaked at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, (UK was 642.1)    Cases that day were 16,496 and test positivity rate was 11.9%  

Total Cases 7 days from 3rdd May to 9th May  were 1295 now 1391 up 7.41%.  Positivity was 1.1% now 1.2%.   Cases per 100k were 23.7 now 25.5

Home Nations Daily update:  UK Average  21.1 to 21.3 up 0.95%, England 21.4 to 21.5  up 0.47%,  Wales  8.8 to 9.0 up 2.27%, Northern Ireland 33.4 to 31.6  down 5.39%

European (Above 2 Million Population) : Sweden 340 to 331, Netherlands 290 to 301, Croatia 287 to 229, Turkey 246 to 188, France 210 to 186, Belgium 182 all destinations over 150 cases per 100K     

Sun worshiper areas currently are Portugal 23, Malta 26, Bulgaria 73, Spain 92, Italy 111, Greece 145, Cyprus 319    

Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

Naughty Level 3 Councils

Moray  99.1 to 100.2 

Glasgow City  52.0 to 58.3   Another 12% rise.  3 neighbourhoods well over 400 per 100K

Under 50 Level 2 Criteria Club

Clackmannanshire   44.6 to 46.6   Currently on the upwards again

Midlothian   30.3 to 35.7  Were Zero cases a week ago. Pentland 610 per 100K Scotland's no go area.

East Renfrewshire   30.4 to 35.6 Up 17%

North Lanarkshire   31.9 to 33.1

East Ayrshire   31.1 to 31.1

Falkirk   26.1 to 26.7

Fife  23.6 to 26.5

South Lanarkshire    23.1 to 26.5  Up 15%

North Ayrshire   26.0 to 25.2

East Dunbartonshire   22.1 to 22.1   

West Lothian  22.9 to 21.3

Aberdeen City   19.2 to 20.6  Cigar stubbed out 1st time in many weeks.

The Should be in Level 1  Club Sub 20.0image.jpeg.2ac60f85799d1453b2fa133e8de973d3.jpeg

City Of Edinburgh  18.7 to 18.9

Dundee City    18.1 to 18.1

Renfrewshire 14.5 to 17.9  

Stirling  12.7 to 17.0  

South Ayrshire   16.0 to 16.9

Perth & Kinross 14.5 to 15.1

Angus  14.6 to 12.9

West Dunbartonshire  12.4 to 15.7

Aberdeenshire   9.6 to 11.1

Highlands   6.4 to 7.2

Dumfries & Galloway  6.0 to 6.0 

East Lothian   5.6 to 5.6 

Inverclyde   2.6 to 3.9  

Scottish  Borders   4.3 to 3.5

Argyll & Bute  1.2 to 0.0     

Orkney Island  4.5 to 0.0 

Shetland Islands  0.0 to 0.0  

Edited by superbigal
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Looking at the cases by specimen date a fair chunk of today's numbers appear to be spread over the past few days.

Only 7 deaths on the NRS figures last week - and only one death on the daily measure in the past week. Looking good.

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2 hours ago, Billy Jean King said:

What did they honestly expect as measures relax and when does cases / positivity stop being the trigger metric ?

I suppose as long as they don't see anything other than a fairly minimal rise in hospital numbers by comparison, but this won't happen for a week or so anyway. If the case positivity goes up even with just a fairly stable rise in hospital numbers, they might put a brake on easing more restrictions though. 

It should be pointed out that Israel had a similar increase in cases (and maybe rise in hospital numbers?) but it didn't last and started to decrease again.

They need to step up the pace with vaccinations. The slight problem is, they NEED to offer the second doses, but the take-up is slightly lower meaning there are some wasted appointments within the system that they can't really do anything about.

Edited by s_dog
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Just look at the Taff case rates, and then look at the greater percentage of people they have got a first dose of vaccine to. Indeed, to younger cohorts that are more likely to transmit, which tells you everything you need to know. We should be doing the exact same thing they are by firing through doses in storage, to nip this Moray/Glasgow nonsense in the bud.


Aren’t they doing that for Moray just now, but yeah Wales are motoring through. We should be doing in the same.
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