BFTD Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 1 hour ago, doulikefish said: Being widely reported that the convoy hasn't moved in a couple of days due to breakdowns/ logistical problems and is being attacked heavily I put a link up yesterday from yank Intel and here's the mod https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1499278184407314437?t=1scWx5J7RDyb4F0CArr9bg&s=19 If this is true, we've definitely moved from "inscrutable tactical genius" territory to "you've made an absolute c**t of this, haven't you?" Surely somebody in the Kremlin's getting shot. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BFTD Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, doulikefish said: The polish reaction to all of this makes me think they would be up for some invading Russia For the past thirty years, it's probably been in the back of the minds of most former Soviet states that Russia would fancy expansion again at some point, so I'm not really surprised. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuckleMoo Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 "Trent Telenko on Twitter: "This is a thread that will explain the implied poor Russian Army truck maintenance practices based on this photo of a Pantsir-S1 wheeled gun-missile system's right rear pair of tires below & the operational implications during the Ukrainian mud season.[emoji3468] 1/ https://t.co/LmxW43v6gy" / Twitter" Might partly explain the reason why the convoy is breaking down and not straying off road 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elixir Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Cheers, Vlad's crying. Quote Posted at 17:38 Second-biggest Russian oil producer calls for end to war Getty Images Russia's second-largest oil producer Lukoil is calling for an end to the conflict in Ukraine. In a statement on its website, the company said it was concerned by the "tragic events in Ukraine" and supported the negotiations to end the conflict. Its board called for "the immediate cessation of the armed conflict and fully supports its resolution through the negotiation process and through diplomatic means". The company is thought to be one of the first major Russian firms to speak out against the invasion. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhys McCabe Hype Train Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, MuckleMoo said: "Trent Telenko on Twitter: "This is a thread that will explain the implied poor Russian Army truck maintenance practices based on this photo of a Pantsir-S1 wheeled gun-missile system's right rear pair of tires below & the operational implications during the Ukrainian mud season. 1/ https://t.co/LmxW43v6gy" / Twitter" Might partly explain the reason why the convoy is breaking down and not straying off road Also been reported that Russian soldiers have been flat up just abandoning their kit because of lack of fuel and mechanical failures while on the road. At least the Ukrainian tax office don't need to know about it if you take a Russian tank into your posession. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AYRSHIRE_ANGUS Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 They were hoping for a hard winter to freeze the ground for the heavy armour but climate change saved the day. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 (edited) 42 minutes ago, Detective Jimmy McNulty said: I don't think the situation is as dire for Putin as others, but we're definitely into sunken cost fallacy now. Don't think the oligarchs or popular opinion matters too much in the short term, but if he's ignored the advice of the FSB and the military, or tries to put the blame on them, I think he's fucked. He's already sacked his army chief I believe. Only way back for Russia is blaming it all on a mad leader. China will maintain an embarrassed silence. Might have been different if it had been like Georgia. Edited March 3, 2022 by welshbairn 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scary Bear Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 46 minutes ago, Theroadlesstravelled said: Germany adds €100 billion to its defence budget. They are going to buy American F(f**k yeah)-35s. “Our goal is to have one of the most capable, powerful armies in Europe in the course of this decade," underlined Finance Minister Christian Lindner of the business-focused Free Democrats (FDP). I’m sure nothing can go wrong with Germany building up it’s military capability again. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Florentine_Pogen Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2022-03-03/palaces-superyachts-swiss-accounts-how-rich-is-putin-sanctions Some truly unreal numbers in this article on the stashed wealth of Putin & oligarchs. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bairnardo Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, AYRSHIRE_ANGUS said: They were hoping for a hard winter to freeze the ground for the heavy armour but climate change saved the day. Climate Change.... Great bunch of lads 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hillonearth Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 25 minutes ago, BFTD said: If this is true, we've definitely moved from "inscrutable tactical genius" territory to "you've made an absolute c**t of this, haven't you?" Surely somebody in the Kremlin's getting shot. I was talking to somebody who knows quite a lot about military theory and they were saying that much of the Russian battleplan up until now seems to be too bad to ring true...they're making elementary mistakes that you'd learn not to do in your first week at somewhere like Sandhurst. Thinking is that possibily either the military are deliberately making a baws of it in order to weaken Putin's position, or else Putin has personally conceived a grand invasion plan which they knew was amateurish and they're carrying it out to the letter knowing it would fail and weaken him. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Melanius Mullarkey Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 37 minutes ago, BFTD said: If this is true, we've definitely moved from "inscrutable tactical genius" territory to "you've made an absolute c**t of this, haven't you?" Surely somebody in the Kremlin's getting shot. Jeremy Corbyn imo. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheese Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, welshbairn said: Don't think the oligarchs or popular opinion matters too much in the short term, but if he's ignored the advice of the FSB and the military, or tries to put the blame on them, I think he's fucked. He's already sacked his army chief I believe. Only way back for Russia is blaming it all on a mad leader. China will maintain an embarrassed silence. Might have been different if it had been like Georgia. A lot depends on the next week or two I guess. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
101 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Good piece from last nights Newsnight on stopping Russian Oil and Gas. Seems unlikely however as reported companj have already stopped taking oil. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuckleMoo Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 I was talking to somebody who knows quite a lot about military theory and they were saying that much of the Russian battleplan up until now seems to be too bad to ring true...they're making elementary mistakes that you'd learn not to do in your first week at somewhere like Sandhurst. Thinking is that possibily either the military are deliberately making a baws of it in order to weaken Putin's position, or else Putin has personally conceived a grand invasion plan which they knew was amateurish and they're carrying it out to the letter knowing it would fail and weaken him. The whole thing is bizarre tbh. I mean, where's the air force gone? Apparently there's over 300 aircraft at the borders but almost all of them have remained grounded. The tactics on the ground up to now appears to be a shambles, moral is shit, army units are communicating over crappy walkie talkies, and machinery and equipment is falling apart. Starting to think the Russian military might be a bit shit 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbornbairn Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 47 minutes ago, BFTD said: For the past thirty years, it's probably been in the back of the minds of most former Soviet states that Russia would fancy expansion again at some point, so I'm not really surprised. Maybe that's why so many applied to join NATO first chance they got? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mackie The Staggie Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 (edited) Don't know if this has been posted before, but the TLDR is how Putin seemed to think sending big scary looking fuckers would have been enough to act as riot police...didn't bet on any push back, and now it's all gone wrong. Edited March 3, 2022 by Mackie The Staggie 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Melanius Mullarkey Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Any good links debunking mad western propaganda of what’s happening on the ground? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Todd_is_God Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, MuckleMoo said: Starting to think the Russian military might be a bit shit It doesn't need to be great tbf - any competent army isn't going to go to war with them as they will have the nuclear capability to wipe their country off the map - it's just got enough strength in depth that it will be able to achieve what it needs to. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thistle_do_nicely Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 (edited) Are notthepars and mixu still pieandbovrilites, feels odd not having any contributions to the thread from them as its the type of thing theyd usually be making valuable posts in/about? Edit: which id steal and use in conversations to look smarter than i am tbh Edited March 3, 2022 by Thistle_do_nicely 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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