Jump to content

Russian invasion of Ukraine


Sonam

Recommended Posts

5 hours ago, welshbairn said:

Not that I haven't got other things to do, but this afternoon I'm tracking Abramovich's yacht on Marine Traffic.

 

image.thumb.png.f8198951427d95abe72671cff5fc652a.png

My bet is he's heading for Montenegro, which could be risky even if he has influential pals there.

image.thumb.png.89506a692430c4264e819038d12bb3b3.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Lofarl said:

 




Anyone with a bit of flight training?  The Russian airforce awaits.

Would be a bit of a nightmare if you were to fly into Kyiv airport ready to hand over the keys and collect your $1m and you get shot down........

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Surely there is no need to offer this, as you would imagine the majority of sanctions will be rolled back almost as soon as the conflict ends?
Not sure about that. Unless there is a regime change and an about face by either Russia or the West then I think this is the reality for the foreseeable future. We've literally seen the return of the cold war, in the space of two weeks, which will take years/decades to unravel. Putin is now toxic and none of the major western government's will want to be seen to be making any kind of deals with him
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, MuckleMoo said:
1 hour ago, Todd_is_God said:
Surely there is no need to offer this, as you would imagine the majority of sanctions will be rolled back almost as soon as the conflict ends?

Not sure about that. Unless there is a regime change and an about face by either Russia or the West then I think this is the reality for the foreseeable future. We've literally seen the return of the cold war, in the space of two weeks, which will take years/decades to unravel. Putin is now toxic and none of the major western government's will want to be seen to be making any kind of deals with him

That would be an acceptable position considering where we are

Every few days the russians up the ante in level of ferocity/lack of humanity on the war front while we pour in the arms

The cold war was devoid of a conflict in Europe.  It is extremely dangerous and needs de-escalated

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Binos said:

That would be an acceptable position considering where we are

Every few days the russians up the ante in level of ferocity/lack of humanity on the war front while we pour in the arms

The cold war was devoid of a conflict in Europe.  It is extremely dangerous and needs de-escalated

Looking back to the period between 1945 until 1989, it is incredible to think a land war was avoided in Europe. As a child brought up in the 70s (and military “career” was a couple years in the TA on the mid 80’s), it was thought inevitable that we’d have some sort of nuclear war.

Even the Yugoslavian/ Balkan’s War was brought about by the passing of Tito and was an ethnic civil war with barely much input by the Soviets or the West from memory. 
This current conflict is “different gravy” and is probably the most serious threat to a full scale war and possible Armageddon since Cuba, I guess?  With any luck there’s a chat going on in some African cafe between Russian and American embassy staff, to ensure Putin “stands down” one way or another!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree it needs de-escalated but which country/region do you see doing that? Russia and the West are far too entrenched now to ever back down.

Honestly think the only way this is resolved is by the Russians overthrowing Putin from within although by all accounts that's not going to happen any time soom

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, HeartsOfficialMoaner said:

We pick our battles. There are other conflicts we could have gotten involved with but we chose this one.

This is a proxy war for us so if we win the war what do we win? What's the prize?

In Iraq we won the oil, what do we win here? Food? Oil? Something else?

Russia winding their fucking necks in a bit. That could prove fairly important long term. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 minutes ago, HeartsOfficialMoaner said:

What else? Are we supplying/giving our weapons to Ukraine or selling them? 

I reckon there's gold in them hills or we'd be looking the other way.

Not really. Ukraine is a massive grain exporter, but this isn't an Iraq type situation. Russian expansionism obviously gives the west the absolute shiters, but so does a potentially escalating war, so giving the Ukrainians the means to defend themselves for long enough for sanctions to turn Russia's economy into a fucking binfire is about the only realistic option. If they hold out long enough, and IF (a big if) sanctions bite hard enough, Putin isn't going to be able to pay his professional soldiers, in which case he's utterly rooked. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, MuckleMoo said:

Honestly think the only way this is resolved is by the Russians overthrowing Putin from within although by all accounts that's not going to happen any time soom

News in today Putin ‘sacks eight generals’ in anger at slow progress in Ukraine invasion.

So maybe a sacked pissed off general could get the overthrow up and running. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/mar/10/is-priti-patel-vicious-or-stupid-its-a-fine-line-for-ukrainian-refugees

"You can only imagine the kompromat that Priti Patel must have on the prime minister. As international development secretary in Theresa May’s government, she had been sacked for going rogue with her own foreign policy. Her flight back to the UK from Kenya had been tracked every bit as closely as those made by Russian oligarchs today. That would have been the end of their career for most politicians. But not Priti Vacant. When Boris Johnson became prime minister, he promoted her to home secretary.

Then came the inquiry that found Patel guilty of breaking the ministerial code for bullying staff. That again should have been enough for instant dismissal. Instead The Suspect ordered colleagues to protect “The Prittster” at all costs. And so she survived; to bumble on with her characteristic mix of incompetence and viciousness. No more so than during the current war in Ukraine."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There is no 'win' for the West in the short to medium term. Reason being that with China in the Russian camp the West can't afford to impose sanctions on the Chinese economy to 'discourage them'. Far too much Western trade and money relies on China. Add in Europe needing at least 5 years minimum to wean itself off Russian oil and gas, and still having to buy from them in the meantime.

The only hope is Putin not expanding further into Moldova/the Baltics in the short term, due to sanctions and drain on resources in Ukraine. 

That's only a temporary pause, but the Iron Curtain is well and truly down again, and will dominate domestic and international politics for some time to come.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...