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The US Presidential election prediction thread


ICTChris

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1 hour ago, Sherrif John Bunnell said:

Starmer should try the same thing when Newcastle Central or wherever declares first at the next general election.

"We were winning before all the other votes were counted!"

Newcastle !! Seriously !! 

Do you not know it is always Sunderland that aims to be first to declare on the night?

Better not go to Sunderland if you going to say stuff like that.

On second thought, it is probably a good idea to avoid Sunderland the rest of the time as well.

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Biden's lead in Michigan gradually increasing - up to 0.7% now - just 8% left to count.

 

 Biden ahead by 3.4% in Arizona with 14% left to count.

 

Biden 0.6% ahead in Nevada with 14% left to count last reported - they are still counting but not posting any more results until it's confirmed

 

Biden ahead by 0.6% in Wisconsin with 3% left to count.

 

Trump up 2.2% with just 8% left to count - but critically these are mostly postal votes in and around Atlanta.

 

Trump up 1.5% in North Carolina with juyst 5% left - again mostly postal votes in Raleigh, Wilmington and other urban areas.

 

Trump up 8.8% in Pennsylvania but still 21% of votes to count - the postal ballots which are reportedly breaking 4 or 5 to 1 for Biden.

 

I think we might have a provisional winner late tonight or early tomorrow - then we'll have the recounts!!

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11 minutes ago, Fullerene said:

Newcastle !! Seriously !! 

Do you not know it is always Sunderland that aims to be first to declare on the night?

Better not go to Sunderland if you going to say stuff like that.

On second thought, it is probably a good idea to avoid Sunderland the rest of the time as well.

Newcastle has beaten Sunderland to declare in the last one or two, I think.

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35 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said:

It isn't like Morgan to be a joyless Gammony bellend. He must have been hacked.

His real name is Piers (Pearse?) O'Meara and his family is from County Offaly. Seems to always go out of his way to prove he is the quintessential pompous English gentleman. Trying to fit in a wee bit too hard maybe. 

Edited by LongTimeLurker
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Massive fan of the GOP doing what it could to stifle the postal voting setup and blocking early counting of votes and now, erm, moaning about why it's taking so long to count votes.

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48 minutes ago, Melanius Mullarkey said:

Seriously?

 

47 minutes ago, Suspect Device said:

Not sure you're being serious but

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amanda_Knox

 

 

47 minutes ago, AFCDannyFTH said:

The epitome of a danger-ride.

 

45 minutes ago, Arch Stanton said:

Morgan has piped up

 

I was 10 in '07 so wasn't aware of the case. Thanks for that :lol:

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14 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said:

His real name is Piers (Pearse?) O'Meara and his family is from County Offaly. Seems to always go out of his way to prove he is the quintessential pompous English gentleman. Trying to fit in a wee bit too hard maybe. 

The leap from an Irish dentist to a pompous Englishman is not a particularly large one tbf.

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Media outlets not running with it yet, but all votes counted in Wisconsin and Biden is 20k ahead.

Trump within the law to ask for a recount, but at 20k is there any point? No.

Will he do it anyway?

Probably.

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Quick check using the AP election map.  If you want to avoid Trump voters Massachusetts and Rhode Island look like they voted Democrat in all areas.  New Hampshire and Vermont almost there as well.

West Virginia and Oklahoma should be avoided.  Trump voters everywhere! 

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