Granny Danger Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 This is a really clear and helpful tracker. Factor in that most votes still to be counted are Mail in then it helps to show how things could go. Hopefully it’s updated regularly. https://news.sky.com/story/us-election-2020-see-how-many-votes-are-still-left-to-count-as-some-us-states-go-down-to-wire-12123639 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tongue_tied_danny Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, NotThePars said: It's not about providing a service to people or even comfort to libs for big Nate it's about proving he wasn't owned in 2016 Do you know anything about the sports probability side of his website? Haven't looked at it but wondering what he's like as a tipster there. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billy Jean King Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump 6 into 3.45 on betfair in the last few mins. Any reason ??? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 I saw someone say that the ethnic minority share of Trumps vote this time is higher than any Republican since Nixon in 1960, which was when the Democrats were still the racist party in the South (I think).I’m sure better minds than me will discuss it in depth but it seems that a lot of people overlooked the viewpoint diversity among certain groups, like Latinos for example. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Holiday Song Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Stuck some money on Trump at 6.2 at Betfair about an hour ago, he’s now down to 3.45... anyone seeing anything that explains that? I’m wary of reading too much into odds, but movements like that usually mean I’ve missed news. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Detournement Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The point about the polls is that they change the narrative of the campaign. Biden was on easy street because he was wrongly assumed to be a front runner and the media could frame everything he did as being justified by that. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) 3 minutes ago, The Holiday Song said: Stuck some money on Trump at 6.2 at Betfair about an hour ago, he’s now down to 3.45... anyone seeing anything that explains that? I’m wary of reading too much into odds, but movements like that usually mean I’ve missed news. Probably a load of people like me thinking about a Trump win insurance bet. Mulled over it at 5/1, didn't pounce and too late now. Next election I'm definitely going to be more strategic about it and ready to respond to market changes. It's usually got little to do with the news, or if it is, it's exaggerated. Edited November 4, 2020 by welshbairn 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Stuck some money on Trump at 6.2 at Betfair about an hour ago, he’s now down to 3.45... anyone seeing anything that explains that? I’m wary of reading too much into odds, but movements like that usually mean I’ve missed news. Probably the statement that they are going to ask for recount in Wisconsin - unless they've misplaced 90000 votes it isn't going to matter. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) 8 minutes ago, The Holiday Song said: Stuck some money on Trump at 6.2 at Betfair about an hour ago, he’s now down to 3.45... anyone seeing anything that explains that? I’m wary of reading too much into odds, but movements like that usually mean I’ve missed news. He just won the lone electoral vote in Maine's 2nd district? Edited November 4, 2020 by renton 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAD Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: 7 minutes ago, The Holiday Song said: Stuck some money on Trump at 6.2 at Betfair about an hour ago, he’s now down to 3.45... anyone seeing anything that explains that? I’m wary of reading too much into odds, but movements like that usually mean I’ve missed news. Probably the statement that they are going to ask for recount in Wisconsin - unless they've misplaced 90000 votes it isn't going to matter. I think the idea that Arizona is back in play when it was previously counted as a Biden win has a bit to do with it as well. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotThePars Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 16 minutes ago, welshbairn said: Do you know anything about the sports probability side of his website? Haven't looked at it but wondering what he's like as a tipster there. I don't know anything about his political forecasting I'm just shitposting 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 He just won the lone electoral vote in Maine's 2nd district?It was 3 to 1 last election and 3 to 1 this election - even with a landslide Biden would have struggled to get all 4. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, GAD said: I think the idea that Arizona is back in play when it was previously counted as a Biden win has a bit to do with it as well. Yeah, that will be giving folk jitters now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Highlandmagyar 2nd Tier Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden win Wisconsin. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boo Khaki Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump campaign has filed a lawsuit to halt counting in Michigan. Day 1 of the biggest, long-running toddler-tantrum in the history of the human race. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Couple of independents in Maine may have handed the GOP the Senate, one an antivaxxer type and the other a Green mask enthusiast. Multifaced Susan Collins has been conceded the seat with 51% despite 15% of votes uncounted. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hedgecutter Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 I was looking forward to seeing Trump's ego absolutely battered, but in his own little world he's genuinely going to think that he did a great job and won regardless of the outcome, isn't he. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullerene Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 hour ago, Billy Jean King said: 1 hour ago, Fullerene said: Quick check using the AP election map. If you want to avoid Trump voters Massachusetts and Rhode Island look like they voted Democrat in all areas. New Hampshire and Vermont almost there as well. West Virginia and Oklahoma should be avoided. Trump voters everywhere! Take me home Cunty roads. 24 hours from Tulsa is still too close to Oklahoma. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G-MAN Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Why did Trump come into 9/4 ? He was 4/1 about 5 mins ago ? Just at the same time CNN called Wisconsin for Biden. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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