Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[superbigal]

Daily Cases Update:  Day 13 in a row of case rises up a large 6.32%  to 193.2  I expect a huge rise of over 10% tomorrow as our 4th wave of infections continues. Infectivity up 2 ticks to 6.7%.  

Wow over 2,500 cases today following 1,815 yesterday. This is a big surge on top of what I was already predicting.  Will ScotGov hold their nerve as cases increase absolutely everywhere back up towards the 300 per 100K mark.

Dumfries Central somehow is still increasing and now up to 1,300.

Figures for Jags  1st Vaccines   3,205 to 4,283 ,  2nd vaccines  14,371 to 16,069

In Europe the UK continues to plough a lone furrow somehow for high infectivity.  Sub 5% in all main European countries. Switzerland is up 82% in last week.

Total Cases Scotland 7 days 9th August to 15th August were 9,934 now 10,562 up 6.32%, Positivity was 6.5% now 6.7%.  Cases per 100K were 181.7 now 193.2 

Home Nations Daily update  :  UK Average 294.7 to 296.0 up 0.44%, England  305.5 to 305.8 up 0.10%, Wales 195.8 to 208.8 up 6.64%, Northern Ireland  500.2 to 504.3 up 0.82%

In Europe for travellers   France 253.6 to 252.9,  Ireland 247.3 to 246.0, Greece  220.9 to 215.6, Spain  197.1, to 192.7, Switzerland 158.6 to 172.8,  Portugal  158.7 to 160.3,   These are still the only main countries over 120 cases per 100K  

Scotland peaks in Wave 3 at 425.1 for 27th June to 3rd July, (UK was 229.9) . Cases that day were 23,222 and positivity 10.8%

Scotland previously peaked in wave 2 at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan, (UK was 642.1)    Cases that day were 16,496 and test positivity rate was 11.9%  

Council progress in last 24 Hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview

Dumfries & Galloway  275.1 to 311.6  Impressive leap to the top. Dumfries Central riddled and up to 1,300

North Ayrshire  263.7 to 274.9   Dalry is riddled with Rona.

North Lanarkshire  245.6 to 261.8

West Dunbartonshire  240.0 to 258.1 

Clackmannanshire  234.0 to 249.6

East Lothian   242.8 to 242.8  

South Lanarkshire 240.6 to 242.2

Inverclyde   225.8 to 238.8    

Argyll & Bute   197.8 to 22.4

East Dunbartonshire  198.6 to 221.6 

Renfrewshire 205.1 to 216.8

East Renfrewshire  197.8 to 216.5 

Glasgow City  189.1 to 203.4

East Ayrshire   189.1 to 203.1 

West Lothian   180.1 to 201.8

Fife  194.6 to 201.5

City Of Edinburgh  177.2 to 190.3

South Ayrshire  152.5 to 171.2

Scottish  Borders   166.5 to 167.5 

Falkirk  151.3 to 166.9

Midlothian  157.8 to 162.1

Dundee City   141.8 to 155.2

Highlands  140.6 to 141.4 

Stirling   127.6 to 139.2

Perth & Kinross   123.8 to 138.9

Angus  114.8 to 123.5

Aberdeen City   112.6 to 115.7 

Aberdeenshire   108.5 to 114.3  

Western Isles   90.6 to 101.9

Moray  88.8 to 86.7 

Orkney Islands  53.6 to 58.0

Shetland Islands    43.7 to 35.0

Edited August 18, 2021 by superbigal

[scottsdad]

2 minutes ago, superbigal said:

Will ScotGov hold their nerve as cases increase absolutely everywhere back up towards the 300 per 100K mark.

[The Master]

9 minutes ago, scottsdad said:

To be fair, there's been little or nothing from the Scottish Government or Jason Leitch about the rising cases.

It's almost as if the vaccines are preventing the same sharp increase in hospitalisations and deaths meaning there's absolutely nothing to be concerned about. 

[BigDoddyKane]

If the SG dont hold their nerve then what was the point in opening up, clearly there will be a spike when everything opens up and events occur but it should start to decrease after a short time and level out

[craigkillie]

They didn't increase restrictions when the 3rd wave hit - they simply slowed down the relaxation a bit. As long as there's not a massive uptick in hospitalisations and deaths, I can't see why they would now.

[effeffsee_the2nd]

TBF, this isnt even making the news, we know that englands wave has at least stabilised .

[Jan Vojáček]

37 minutes ago, effeffsee_the2nd said:

• Those of a nervous disposition better get these on their shopping list...
• 2,538 new cases of COVID-19 reported
• 35,999 new tests for COVID-19 that reported results
  • 7.5% of these were positive
• 10 new reported death(s) of people who have tested positive
• 39 people were in intensive care yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19
• 324 people were in hospital yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19
• 4,065,970 people have received the first dose of the Covid vaccination and 3,498,257 have received their second dose

Hospital numbers down. ICU numbers down. Positivity down. **Insert cigar gif**

Almost 34k tests is wild. That must be the highest numbers since early July? I suppose that's the way things go when restrictions ease. Everything else is looking about as good as anyone could've hoped for at this stage.

[Michael W]

Surely that number simply reflects the additional testing picking up infection amongst (presumably asymptomatic) children? 

The same will happen in England when the infection factories return again. 

[Elixir]

I wonder when the testing obsession will stop.

[Todd_is_God]

The only problem with such a large number of cases is the impact contact tracing will have on businesses which rely on younger workforces.

The relaxation of the close contact isolation rules won't really help them.

[Sherrif John Bunnell]

The same people losing their shit about SNP MPs choosing to wear masks in the Commons would be bleating about their hypocrisy if they weren't wearing masks.

[Have some faith in Magic]

Shut the pubs! close the grounds! 

Back in the house! 

 

 

[Elixir]

 

[Thereisalight..]

10 minutes ago, Have some faith in Magic said:

Shut the pubs! close the grounds! 

Back in the house! 

 

 

Don’t give them any ideas! 

The sad thing is, there’s many people out there who’d love that. You only need to read any Fb shite page like Ayrshire/Glasgow/Edinburgh live to see that moonhowlers will be in their element about cases going up 

[eez-eh]

It isn’t purely down to testing, as the test positivity has also been creeping up week on week, but that’s easily explained by looser restrictions.

It seems to me that there isn’t anywhere near the same level of focus on or hysteria about the daily figures. I only hear about them if I go out my way to find them. Unless there’s a drastic increase in hospitalisations it gives me hope that scotgov won’t shit themselves again.

[Guest Flash]

Not sure if this has been covered already but the news coming out of Israel isn’t great. Signs that the effectiveness of the vaccines wears off over time. Israel is reintroducing restrictions and giving out third doses of the vaccine to over 50s. It could be an indication that restrictions might have to be reintroduced here before everybody has a third dose of the vaccine. 

ScienceMag

Times of Israel

 

[TheScarf]

12 minutes ago, eez-eh said:

It isn’t purely down to testing, as the test positivity has also been creeping up week on week, but that’s easily explained by looser restrictions.

It seems to me that there isn’t anywhere near the same level of focus on or hysteria about the daily figures. I only hear about them if I go out my way to find them. Unless there’s a drastic increase in hospitalisations it gives me hope that scotgov won’t shit themselves again.

I said the same thing a few days back, you don't see,hear or read about cases and hospitalisations half as much as you did even a couple of months ago.

[Granny Danger]

2 minutes ago, Flash said:

Not sure if this has been covered already but the news coming out of Israel isn’t great. Signs that the effectiveness of the vaccines wears off over time. Israel is reintroducing restrictions and giving out third doses of the vaccine to over 50s. It could be an indication that restrictions might have to be reintroduced here before everybody has a third dose of the vaccine. 

ScienceMag

Times of Israel

 

Blasphemy.  Prepare to be stoned; and not in a good way.

 

[Abdul_Latif]

10 minutes ago, Flash said:

Not sure if this has been covered already but the news coming out of Israel isn’t great. Signs that the effectiveness of the vaccines wears off over time. Israel is reintroducing restrictions and giving out third doses of the vaccine to over 50s. It could be an indication that restrictions might have to be reintroduced here before everybody has a third dose of the vaccine. 

ScienceMag

Times of Israel

 

With the UK due to start 3rd doses for the elderly and vulnerable from October, I’d be very surprised to see reimposition of any measures.

Worst case scenario we bring the date of 3rd doses forward for those groups.

[Todd_is_God]

17 minutes ago, Flash said:

Not sure if this has been covered already but the news coming out of Israel isn’t great. Signs that the effectiveness of the vaccines wears off over time. Israel is reintroducing restrictions and giving out third doses of the vaccine to over 50s. It could be an indication that restrictions might have to be reintroduced here before everybody has a third dose of the vaccine. 

ScienceMag

Times of Israel

 

I'm not so sure. I fully expect Covid jags to be mixed with the flu jags offered this winter, however so long as the initial doses continue to be effective in reducing serious illness, I don't see a need for any restrictions.

The aim, remember, is to reduce the impact of Covid infections on the health service to a similar risk footprint as any other virus. The vaccines, regardless of the number of "cases" amongst vaccinated people, appear to be doing that.

We also have a much higher vaccine coverage than Israel, and used a longer gap between vaccines that (allegedly) offered greater protection from serious disease following the second dose.

Edited August 18, 2021 by Todd_is_God